Siena College Research Institute, Apr 2023: poll record

Siena College Research Institute

Mississippi Today / Siena College Poll · Apr 16–20, 2023 · US: Mississippi

Methodology

Pollster: Siena College Research Institute academic
Sponsor: Mississippi Today
Commissioned by: Mississippi Today
Fielded: Apr 16–20, 2023
Population: registered voters
Sample size: 783
Sample frame: mixed-mode probability
Panel: Lucid (online panel component)
Mode: mixed mode - stratified dual frame landline and cell phone sample drawn from the L-2 registered-voter database, plus a proprietary online panel (Lucid); telephone calls conducted in English, sampling initiated by asking for the youngest person in the household
Margin of error: +/- 4.3 percentage points including the design effects resulting from weighting
Weighting: weighted to reflect known population patterns; data from collection modes statistically adjusted by region, age, race/ethnicity by congressional district, education, and gender
Geography: US: Mississippi
Base notes: 509 respondents contacted through a dual frame (landline and cell phone) mode; 274 respondents drawn from a proprietary online panel (Lucid)

Sources

Verification note. Question wording, response options, and the full Total/party/gender/race crosstab read directly from the Siena College Research Institute crosstab PDF ('MS0423 Crosstabs - Issues.xlsx', 2 pages) linked by Mississippi Today. Congressional-district, age, income, education and child-in-household columns are also in the PDF but the fixed-width text extraction misaligned some of them, so only the columns that could be read unambiguously are recorded here.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Youth medical careotherin a trend series

vote-determinative importance of maintaining Mississippi's ban on gender-affirming care for minors (2023 REAP Act)

Now consider some proposals that may be important in the upcoming election for Governor. For each, tell me whether you will only vote for a candidate that supports the initiative, or that you will only vote for a candidate that opposes the initiative, or that the initiative will not determine your vote choice.

Will only vote for a candidate that supports

35%

Will only vote for a candidate that opposes

31%

Candidate's position doesn't matter to my vote choice

16%

Won't be voting

Don't know/No opinion

14%

Wording notes: measures vote-determinativeness, not policy support | status-quo framing ('maintaining the ban') rather than a support/oppose framing of the ban itself | item rotated within a six-item battery

neutral — Both directions are offered symmetrically along with an explicit 'doesn't matter' option; the item names the existing ban neutrally. It measures salience/vote weight rather than direction of opinion, which should be noted when comparing it to support/oppose items.

Subgroup figures (35)

party

Group	Will only vote for a candidate that supports	Will only vote for a candidate that opposes	Candidate's position doesn't matter to my vote choice	Don't know/No opinion	Won't be voting
Democrat	21%	36%	19%	18%	6%
Republican	45%	30%	12%	11%	2%
Independent & Other Parties	36%	26%	19%	14%	5%

gender

Group	Will only vote for a candidate that supports	Will only vote for a candidate that opposes	Candidate's position doesn't matter to my vote choice	Don't know/No opinion	Won't be voting
Male	41%	32%	17%	10%	1%
Female	29%	31%	15%	18%	7%

race

Group	Will only vote for a candidate that supports	Will only vote for a candidate that opposes	Candidate's position doesn't matter to my vote choice	Don't know/No opinion	Won't be voting
White	44%	30%	13%	8%	5%
African American/Black	19%	34%	20%	23%	3%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →