mixed-mode probability

Siena College Research Institute

Siena College Poll (New York State), May 2024 · May 13–15, 2024 · US: New York

Methodology

Pollster: Siena College Research Institute academic
Sponsor: Siena College Research Institute
Fielded: May 13–15, 2024
Population: registered voters
Sample size: 1,191
Sample frame: mixed-mode probability
Panel: Cint (proprietary online panel component)
Mode: telephone + text-to-web + online panel - 1,191 respondents: 890 contacted through a dual frame (landline and cell phone) mode, 227 of them completing via text to web, and 301 drawn from a proprietary online panel (Cint); telephone interviews in English, youngest-person-in-household selection
Margin of error: +/- 3.9 percentage points, including design effects resulting from weighting
Weighting: weighted to Census Bureau 2023 ACS estimates for New York State on age, region, race/ethnicity, education and gender, and to current NYS Board of Elections party registration patterns
Geography: US: New York

Sources

Verification note. Q24 and Q25 wording and crosstab columns read directly from the SNY0524 crosstabs PDF (pages 3-4); Q24 total (48-32) matches the Siena release text.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (2)

Nondiscriminationsupport/opposein a trend series

state constitutional amendment to protect transgender rights, asked as an isolated item

[Q23-Q24 ROTATED]

Do you support or oppose adding an amendment to the State Constitution to protect transgender rights?

Vol: In the middle

12%

Don't know/Refused

Total support 48%Total oppose 32%

Wording notes: rotated with a parallel abortion-rights amendment item | middle category accepted only as volunteered

neutral — balanced support/oppose stem with no description of what 'transgender rights' would cover; rotation with the abortion item controls order effects

Subgroup figures (32)

party

Group	Total support	Total oppose	Vol: In the middle	Don't know/Refused
Dem	63%	21%	10%	6%
Rep	20%	58%	11%	11%
Ind / Oth	43%	33%	16%	8%

ideology

Group	Total support	Total oppose	Vol: In the middle	Don't know/Refused
Liberal	78%	8%	9%	5%
Moderate	44%	32%	15%	9%
Conservative	26%	57%	9%	9%

gender

Group	Total support	Total oppose	Vol: In the middle	Don't know/Refused
Male	42%	39%	10%	9%
Female	53%	27%	13%	7%

Nondiscriminationforced choicein a trend series

vote intention on the New York State Equal Rights Amendment (2024 Proposal 1), described as covering both abortion and transgender rights

The proposed New York State E-R-A, the Equal Rights Amendment, would protect both abortion rights and transgender rights. If that amendment to the State Constitution is on the ballot in November would you vote yes or no?

Yes

59%

26%

Vol: Won't vote on the amendment

Don't know/Refused

Wording notes: bundles abortion rights and transgender rights in a single item, as the ballot measure itself did

double_barreled — the item deliberately bundles two protected categories because the real ballot measure did; yes-vote support (59%) runs 11 points above support for the isolated transgender-rights amendment (48%) in the same fielding, which is itself the analytically interesting result

Subgroup figures (32)

party

Group	Yes	No	Vol: Won't vote on the amendment	Don't know/Refused
Dem	73%	15%	5%	7%
Rep	30%	54%	6%	10%
Ind / Oth	59%	25%	9%	7%

ideology

Group	Yes	No	Vol: Won't vote on the amendment	Don't know/Refused
Liberal	88%	6%	2%	4%
Moderate	60%	22%	8%	9%
Conservative	32%	51%	8%	9%

gender

Group	Yes	No	Vol: Won't vote on the amendment	Don't know/Refused
Male	52%	32%	8%	7%
Female	66%	21%	5%	8%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →