nonprobability quota

SoonerPoll

SoonerPoll Quarterly Poll, June 2023 · Jun 2023 – Jun 4, 2023 · US: Oklahoma

Methodology

Pollster
SoonerPoll commercial
Sponsor
SoonerPoll.com (a brand of ShapardResearch LLC)
Fielded
Jun 2023 – Jun 4, 2023
Population
likely voters
Sample size
302
Sample frame
nonprobability quota
Panel
SoonerPoll proprietary online panel
Mode
online panel survey - respondents selected at random statewide from SoonerPoll's proprietary online panel
Margin of error
+/- 5.65 percent
Weighting
weighted by education, age, and congressional district to reflect the Oklahoma likely voter population for a general election, using a 'layered technique'
Geography
US: Oklahoma

Sources

Verification note. soonerpoll.com returns HTTP 403 to WebFetch; all four releases were retrieved with curl via Bash. Question wording, toplines and the methodology paragraph are printed verbatim in the releases. Subgroup figures are those stated in the release narrative - SoonerPoll published no crosstab tables, so some party/ideology cells are described only in prose ('nearly 86 percent', 'over 67 percent') and are recorded here at the stated value; no crosstab exists to check them against. Release dates differ by item (July 17, 18, 19 and 31, 2023) but all four report the same June 1-4, 2023 fielding.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (7)

School policysupport/opposein a trend series
teachers helping students under 16 transition without parental consent

Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE teachers guiding or helping their STUDENTS UNDER THE AGE OF 16 transition to the opposite sex without parental consent or knowledge?

Support 29%158% Oppose

Wording notes: uses 'transition to the opposite sex' | stacks 'without parental consent or knowledge' onto the transition item | capitalised emphasis in the stimulus

double_barreled — the item bundles two separable propositions - a minor socially or medically transitioning, and doing so without parental knowledge - so agreement cannot be attributed to either alone; 'opposite sex' framing and the capitalised 'STUDENTS UNDER THE AGE OF 16' add emphasis

Subgroup figures (13)

party

GroupCOMBINED OPPOSEStrongly opposeCOMBINED SUPPORT
Republican98.4%94.3%—
Independent56.7%43.9%—
Democrat48.1%28.6%34%

ideology

GroupStrongly opposeSomewhat opposeCOMBINED OPPOSECOMBINED SUPPORT
Moderates59.6%22.6%82.2%—
Somewhat conservative95.7%———
Very liberal———64.2%
Somewhat liberal———28.5%
Drag & public expressionsupport/opposein a trend series
public drag performances where children under 12 may be present

Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the public display of DRAG SHOWS, a form of entertainment performed by drag artists with men dressed as women and vice versa, where CHILDREN under the age of 12 may be present at schools, libraries, or other public places?

Support 56%133% Oppose

Wording notes: defines drag inside the stimulus | conditions the item on children under 12 being present | capitalised emphasis on CHILDREN

tilts_restrictive — the child-presence condition and the capitalised emphasis foreground the most objectionable version of the practice before any opinion is offered, which is likely to depress measured support relative to a neutral item about drag performance

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupStrongly opposeStrongly supportSomewhat supportCOMBINED SUPPORT
Republican86%———
Democrat—47.6%20.5%68.1%
Independent—43.6%4.6%—

ideology

GroupStrongly opposeSomewhat opposeCOMBINED OPPOSEStrongly supportSomewhat supportCOMBINED SUPPORT
Very conservative96.4%—————
Moderates33.2%21.7%54.9%———
Very liberal———82.3%12.1%94.4%

gender

GroupStrongly oppose
Male61.1%
Female54.3%
School policysupport/opposein a trend series
teaching gender identity to children under 12

Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the teaching of gender identity to children under the age of 12?

Support 59%127% Oppose

Wording notes: 'teaching of gender identity' is undefined | age condition attached

unclear — the object of the question - what 'teaching of gender identity' consists of - is left entirely undefined, so respondents may be answering about very different things; the under-12 condition points respondents toward the most restrictive reading

Subgroup figures (9)

party

GroupStrongly opposeCOMBINED SUPPORT
Republican86%—
Democrat—67%
Independent—54%

ideology

GroupStrongly opposeSomewhat opposeStrongly support
Moderates31.9%25.6%39.9%
Very liberal——84.4%

gender

GroupStrongly support
Female22.4%
Male12%
Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
making castration illegal for healthy minors

Castration, which is the removal of the testicles from a biologically-born male, thereby permanently eliminating one's ability to father a child.

Support 129%52% Oppose

Wording notes: asked under the stem 'SUPPORT OR OPPOSE MAKING IT ILLEGAL' | 'physically healthy children or minors' framing | procedure described in graphic surgical terms | uses 'biologically-born male'

tilts_restrictive — the battery describes gender-affirming care exclusively as irreversible sterilising surgery on 'physically healthy' minors, a description that does not match the treatments actually at issue for most minors, and the release itself editorialises about the 'recently coined progressive term'

Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
making vasectomy illegal for healthy minors

Vasectomy, a surgery conducted in biologically-born males to prevent them from fathering a child in the future.

Support 124%54% Oppose

Wording notes: asked under the stem 'SUPPORT OR OPPOSE MAKING IT ILLEGAL' | 'physically healthy children or minors' framing | uses 'biologically-born males'

tilts_restrictive — same battery framing as the castration item; vasectomy is not a gender-affirming procedure provided to minors, so the item measures reaction to a hypothetical rather than to any actual practice

Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
making hysterectomy illegal for healthy minors

Hysterectomy, which is the removal of all or part of the uterus in biologically-born females, thereby permanently preventing one's ability to ever become pregnant.

Support 133%48% Oppose

Wording notes: asked under the stem 'SUPPORT OR OPPOSE MAKING IT ILLEGAL' | 'physically healthy children or minors' framing | uses 'biologically-born females'

tilts_restrictive — same battery framing; the description emphasises permanent loss of fertility in a 'physically healthy' minor

Youth medical caresupport/opposein a trend series
making mastectomy illegal for healthy minors

Mastectomy, which is the complete or partial removal of breast tissue from biologically-born females.

Support 129%52% Oppose

Wording notes: asked under the stem 'SUPPORT OR OPPOSE MAKING IT ILLEGAL' | 'physically healthy children or minors' framing | uses 'biologically-born females'

tilts_restrictive — same battery framing as the other three surgical items

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →