probability RDD

Suffolk University

Suffolk University/Boston Globe Massachusetts Likely Voter Poll (June 2018) · Jun 8–12, 2018 · US: Massachusetts

Methodology

Pollster
Suffolk University academic
Sponsor
Suffolk University / The Boston Globe
Commissioned by
The Boston Globe
Fielded
Jun 8–12, 2018
Population
likely voters
Sample size
500
Sample frame
probability RDD
Mode
telephone - live interviewer, landline and cell phone
Margin of error
not disclosed in the marginals
Weighting
not disclosed
Geography
US: Massachusetts
Base notes
screened to voters very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2018 election for Governor and U.S. Senator

Sources

Verification note. Marginals and banner tables fetched directly from suffolk.edu; wording, counts and percentages read off the PDFs. Field dates 6/8-6/12/2018 come from Suffolk's own poll-archive index entry for the 6/14/2018 release, not from the marginals header, which carries only the release date - treat the exact field window as index-sourced. Suffolk published no margin-of-error statement in the marginals or tables. BALLOT BENCHMARK: Massachusetts Question 3, voted 2018-11-06 - the only statewide popular vote on transgender rights in U.S. history. Certified result: Yes (keep the gender-identity public accommodations law) 1,806,742 = 67.82%; No (repeal) 857,401 = 32.18%. This June fielding, using repeal-framed wording rather than ballot wording, produced 48.8 oppose repeal / 37.2 support repeal - a two-way split of 56.9/43.1, understating the eventual 67.8/32.2 result by about 11 points. This poll is not listed in Ballotpedia's polling table for the measure and appears to have been missed by prior collection.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Nondiscriminationsupport/opposein a trend series
repeal of the Massachusetts gender-identity public accommodations law (prospective 2018 ballot measure)

There may be a measure on the 2018 ballot that would repeal the law which allowed transgender people to use public restrooms and locker rooms consistent with their gender identities, regardless of their sex at birth. Would you support or oppose REPEALING this law?

Support 37%49% Oppose

Wording notes: support/oppose is directed at REPEAL, so a 'support' answer is the anti-trans position | capitalised REPEALING emphasises the verb for the interviewer | describes the law only as restroom and locker-room access, narrower than the statute | uses 'sex at birth'

neutral — balanced support/oppose pair with an explicit undecided; the wording is near-identical to the MassINC/WBUR May item, which makes the two directly comparable. The restroom-and-locker-room-only description is narrower than the statute but is descriptive rather than evaluative

Subgroup figures (14)

party

GroupSupport repealingOppose repealingUndecidedRefused
Democrat32%63%5%—
Republican41%41%18%—
Independent / Unenrolled41%40%16%2%

gender

GroupSupport repealingOppose repealing
Male34%50%
Female40%47%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →