SMSurveyMonkey/Momentive

Methodology

Pollster

SurveyMonkey/Momentive commercial

Sponsor

The 19th News

Commissioned by

The 19th News

Fielded

Aug 26, 2024 – Sep 4, 2024

Population

adults

Sample size

20,762

Sample frame

river/intercept

Panel

SurveyMonkey

Mode

online - self-administered SurveyMonkey survey

Margin of error

error estimate of plus or minus 1.0 percentage point (non-probability survey)

Weighting

weighted for age, race, sex, education and geography using the Census Bureau's American Community Survey; in addition, data for transgender respondents were weighted for political party identification and gender using the KFF/The Washington Post Trans Survey to reflect the demographic composition of that subgroup

Geography

US national

Base notes

National sample of 20,762 U.S. adults 18+, selected from the more than two million people who take surveys on SurveyMonkey each day. Includes a transgender respondent subsample carrying its own weight.

Sources

• Original release↗(opens another site)
• Methodology↗(opens another site)

Verification note. Methodology (field dates, n=20,762, modeled error +/-1.0, weighting scheme including the trans-respondent weight) confirmed from The 19th's own methodology write-up via search. The 2024 results pages at 19thnews.org return HTTP 402 to automated fetching, so no question wordings or percentages were retrieved. Record kept because this is one of the largest general-population samples in the corpus that asks trans-specific items and includes a trans respondent subsample. || FULLY RESOLVED - this record went from zero questions to a documented split-sample experiment. 19thnews.org returns HTTP 402 to the fetch tool but serves normally to curl with a browser user agent. Methodology confirmed verbatim: fielded 'August 26 to September 4, 2024, among a national sample of 20,762 U.S. adults 18+... Results for this non-probability survey have an error estimate of plus or minus 1.0 percentage point. Data have been weighted for age, race, sex, education and geography using the Census Bureau's American Community Survey... In addition, data for transgender respondents have been weighted for political party identification and gender using the KFF/The Washington Post Trans Survey.' All stored methodology matches. THE SUBSTANTIVE RECOVERY: The 19th ran a deliberate SPLIT-SAMPLE experiment on gender-affirming care. All respondents first read a definition, quoted verbatim in the preamble field below. Then half were asked about the RIGHT of transgender minors to access such care and half about LAWMAKERS restricting it. The result is one of the cleanest question-wording demonstrations in this database: 60 percent oppose the right of transgender minors to access gender-affirming care, while 54 percent - including half of Republicans - do not support lawmakers banning or restricting it. Also recorded: 72 percent say politicians are not informed enough about gender-affirming care for minors to make fair policy (roughly unchanged from 2023), 56 percent support the right of transgender adults to access such care, and The 19th's reported 2023 figure of 17 percent who thought lawmakers should focus on restricting minors' care. STILL MISSING: the literal item stems for the two split arms - The 19th publishes the definition verbatim but paraphrases the question stems - and any breakdown of the transgender respondent subsample, whose size is not stated.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.