unknown
SurveyUSA
WRAL News Poll, April 2016 · Apr 8–11, 2016 · US: North Carolina
Methodology
- Pollster
- SurveyUSA commercial
- Sponsor
- WRAL News
- Commissioned by
- WRAL News
- Fielded
- Apr 8–11, 2016
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 779
- Sample frame
- unknown
- Mode
- not disclosed in the surviving write-up
- Margin of error
- ±3.6 percentage points
- Geography
- US: North Carolina
Sources
Verification note. Percentages, sample size and margin of error from the surviving WRAL write-up; the linked SurveyUSA topline PDF is dead (404) and Wayback was rate-limiting all session, so no verbatim wording could be recovered and every item below is flagged non-verbatim. FIELD DATES ARE DERIVED, NOT PUBLISHED: the article says the poll was conducted 'Friday to Monday' and is dated April 12, 2016, which places the field period on April 8-11, 2016; that inference is recorded here rather than a published range. Value of the record: fielded about two weeks after HB2 was signed, and it shows the split that defined the whole episode - a majority disapproved of HB2 overall while a majority simultaneously endorsed its central bathroom rule.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
overall approval of HB2
[Paraphrase - approve or disapprove of HB2]
Wording reconstructed from: WRAL News write-up, April 12, 2016; the SurveyUSA topline that carried the administered wording is no longer retrievable
Approve 38%50% Disapprove
Wording notes: administered wording unknown
unclear — wording not recoverable
Bathrooms & facilitiesparaphrasedagree/disagree
agreement that bathroom use should follow the birth certificate
[Paraphrase - agree or disagree that transgender people should use the bathroom that matches the gender listed on their birth certificates, asked on a strongly/somewhat scale]
Wording reconstructed from: WRAL News write-up, April 12, 2016
Wording notes: administered wording unknown | agree/disagree format is vulnerable to acquiescence bias
unclear — wording not recoverable; the 56/34 result sitting beside 50% disapproval of the law containing that same rule is the finding worth keeping
what should happen to HB2
[Paraphrase - whether the law should be repealed completely, kept only in its bathroom provision, changed in other ways, or left as is]
Wording reconstructed from: WRAL News write-up, April 12, 2016
Repeal the law completely
37%
Let only the bathroom provision remain
20%
Make other changes
19%
Leave the law as is
18%
Wording notes: administered wording unknown | four-way option set splits the pro-retention side across three answers
unclear — wording not recoverable; note that the four-way structure yields a 37% plurality for complete repeal, well below the 55.5% Elon recorded five months later on a two-way remain/repeal choice - the option set, not opinion change alone, accounts for part of that distance