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Tavern Research

Searchlight Institute / Tavern Research February 2026 survey ("The Path Forward for Transgender Rights") · Feb 18–19, 2026 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Tavern Research partisan_d
Sponsor
Searchlight Institute
Commissioned by
Searchlight Institute
Fielded
Feb 18–19, 2026
Population
likely voters
Sample size
1,526
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
not disclosed
Mode
online - web panels
Margin of error
±3.7 percentage points
Weighting
weighted by gender, race, 2024 presidential vote, education and age; respondents were also weighted by whether they passed attention checks
Geography
US national
Base notes
Q30/Q31 are a split sample (split_q40): n=751 received the 'safety' version and n=771 the 'equal treatment' version.

Sources

Verification note. The topline PDF has no text layer; all 12 pages were rendered to images and read visually. Only overall percentages are published - no party crosstabs are in the released document, although the accompanying memo cites a Democratic subgroup figure on sports that is not in this file.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (13)

Contact & populationforced choicein a trend series
personally knowing a transgender person

Do you personally know anyone who is transgender?

No
71%
Yes
29%

Wording notes: 'No' listed first

neutral — factual contact item

Political salience5-point scalein a trend series
media exposure to transgender issues

How much have you been hearing or reading about issues related to people who are transgender lately?

Nothing
25%
A little
22%
Fair amount
21%
Just some
19%
A great deal
12%

Wording notes: wording replicates Hart's April 2025 Q4 for Searchlight, enabling a same-client trend

neutral — standard exposure item

Political salienceforced choicein a trend series
whether Democrats focus too much on transgender issues

When it comes to transgender issues and policies, do you think Democrats are...?

Focusing too much on transgender issues
51%
Focusing about the right amount on transgender issues
35%
Not focusing enough on transgender issues
15%

Wording notes: replicates the Hart April 2025 item for the same client

neutral — symmetric item asked of each actor in turn

Political salienceforced choicein a trend series
whether Republicans and the Trump administration focus too much on transgender issues

And what about Republicans? When it comes to transgender issues and policies, do you think they are...? And what about the Trump Administration? When it comes to transgender issues and policies, do you think they are ...?

Focusing too much on transgender issues
41%
Focusing too much on transgender issues
40%
Focusing about the right amount on transgender issues
36%
Focusing about the right amount on transgender issues
35%
Not focusing enough on transgender issues
25%
Not focusing enough on transgender issues
24%

neutral — identical construction to the Democratic version

General acceptanceforced choicein a trend series
living free from discrimination vs. not being required to tolerate

Which position do you agree with more?

Transgender people should be able to live their lives free from discrimination and bullying
70%
Schools should inform parents if their child questions their gender identity at school
55%
Schools should protect student privacy about gender identity questions
26%
Individuals should not be required to tolerate transgender people or treat them certain ways
18%
Not sure
12%

Wording notes: the restrictive alternative is phrased as refusing to 'tolerate' people, an unusually harsh construction

tilts_affirming — the opposing option asserts a right not to tolerate a group, which few respondents will endorse regardless of their policy views; this inflates the 70% figure relative to any concrete policy question in the same survey

Identity beliefsforced choicein a trend series
whether protecting or equally treating trans people requires acknowledging gender identity (split sample)

Which position do you agree with more? [Form 'safety', n=751] - Ensuring safety for transgender people means supporting their gender identity - You can protect transgender people without acknowledging their gender identity [Form 'equal_treatment', n=771] - Equal treatment for transgender people means supporting their gender identity - You can treat transgender people equally without acknowledging their gender identity

You can treat transgender people equally without acknowledging their gender identity
55%
You can protect transgender people without acknowledging their gender identity
51%
Equal treatment for transgender people means supporting their gender identity
33%
Ensuring safety for transgender people means supporting their gender identity
32%
Not sure
17%
Not sure
12%

Wording notes: split-sample test of whether 'safety' or 'equal treatment' framing changes the result

neutral — both halves state the two positions symmetrically; the design isolates whether the framing word matters (it barely does)

Pronouns & languageforced choicein a trend series
what counts as bullying of transgender people

In your opinion, which of the following actions towards transgender people would you consider to be bullying?

In your opinion, which of the following actions towards transgender people would you consider to be bullying? - Excluding someone from groups or activities because they are transgender - Refusing to use someone's name, or calling them a name other than the one they've asked you to use - Using someone's birth name, rather than the name they've asked you to use - Not acknowledging someone's gender identity, consistently referring to them as a different gender - Not acknowledging someone's gender identity, refusing to use the pronouns they prefer - Making fun of someone's appearance or clothing - Requiring someone to use the bathrooms corresponding to their biological sex - Preventing someone from using bathrooms corresponding to their gender identity

Making fun of someone's appearance or clothing - yes, bullying
82%
Excluding someone from groups or activities because they are transgender - yes, bullying
57%
Refusing to use someone's name, or calling them a name other than the one they've asked you to use - yes, bullying
57%
Not acknowledging someone's gender identity, consistently referring to them as a different gender - yes, bullying
45%
Not acknowledging someone's gender identity, refusing to use the pronouns they prefer - yes, bullying
38%
Using someone's birth name, rather than the name they've asked you to use - yes, bullying
37%
Preventing someone from using bathrooms corresponding to their gender identity - yes, bullying
31%
Requiring someone to use the bathrooms corresponding to their biological sex - yes, bullying
25%

Wording notes: the same underlying bathroom policy is asked twice in opposite framings ('requiring... biological sex' vs. 'preventing... gender identity')

neutral — the battery deliberately includes both an active and a restrictive framing of the same bathroom rule and both a name and a pronoun version of misgendering, which is a careful design for measuring where the public's line sits

Sportssupport/opposein a trend series
policies requiring athletes to compete on birth-sex teams

Do you support or oppose policies that require that transgender athletes compete on teams that match the sex they were assigned at birth, not the gender they identify with?

Support 59%20% Oppose

Wording notes: uses 'the sex they were assigned at birth' rather than 'biological sex' in this item

neutral — single-barreled support/oppose with a not-sure option and non-pejorative terminology on both sides

Sportsforced choicein a trend series
school and professional sports placement, and federal vs. local authority

Which position do you agree with more? - Transgender youth should play on school sports teams that match their biological sex / Transgender youth should play on school sports teams that match their gender identity - Transgender adults should compete in college and professional sports that match their biological sex / ...that match their gender identity - Federal law should require school sports teams to place transgender youth based on their biological sex / Decisions about transgender youth in school sports teams should be left to states and local school districts - Federal law should require college and professional sports to place transgender athletes on teams based on their biological sex / Decisions about transgender athletes in college and professional sports should be left to the NCAA and professional sports leagues

Transgender youth should play on school sports teams that match their biological sex
59%
Transgender adults should compete in college and professional sports that match their biological sex
58%
Federal law should require college and professional sports to place transgender athletes on teams based on their biological sex
50%
Federal law should require school sports teams to place transgender youth based on their biological sex
48%
Decisions about transgender youth in school sports teams should be left to states and local school districts
31%
Decisions about transgender athletes in college and professional sports should be left to the NCAA and professional sports leagues
31%

Wording notes: 'biological sex' used throughout these items, in contrast with the 'assigned at birth' phrasing used in Q40

neutral — symmetric two-position construction with a not-sure option; the pairing of substance items with federalism items lets the two be distinguished

Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
K-12 bathrooms and locker rooms, including the single-stall alternative

Which position do you agree with more? - K-12 students should use school bathrooms and locker rooms that match their biological sex / K-12 students should use school bathrooms and locker rooms that match their gender identity - K-12 students should use school bathrooms and locker rooms that match their gender identity / K-12 students who are transgender should use a gender neutral or single stall bathroom

K-12 students should use school bathrooms and locker rooms that match their biological sex
59%
K-12 students who are transgender should use a gender neutral or single stall bathroom
57%

Wording notes: the second item replaces the birth-sex option with a single-stall option, testing whether an accommodation alternative changes the result

neutral — a well-constructed pair: the gender-identity option holds constant while the opposing option changes from birth-sex to separate-facility, and it draws almost identical support (59% vs. 57%)

Youth medical careforced choicein a trend series
youth surgeries and puberty blockers, with and without a parental-consent option

Which position do you agree with more? - Gender transition surgeries should not be available to anyone under 18 / Gender transition surgeries should be available to minors only with approval from their parents and doctors - Gender transition surgeries should not be available to anyone under 18 / Gender transition surgeries should be available to minors without requiring approval from their parents - Gender transition care like puberty blockers and hormone treatments should not be available to anyone under 18 / Gender transition like puberty blockers and hormone treatments should be available to minors with approval from their parents and their doctors - Gender transition care like puberty blockers and hormone treatments should not be available to anyone under 18 / Gender transition like puberty blockers and hormone treatments should be available to minors without requiring approval from their parents

Gender transition surgeries should not be available to anyone under 18 (vs. parental+doctor approval)
66%
Puberty blockers and hormone treatments should not be available to anyone under 18 (vs. parental+doctor approval)
61%
Puberty blockers and hormone treatments should be available to minors with approval from their parents and their doctors
25%
Gender transition surgeries should be available to minors only with approval from their parents and doctors
21%
Gender transition surgeries should be available to minors without requiring approval from their parents
8%

Wording notes: each policy is asked twice, once against a parental-consent version and once against a no-parental-consent version

neutral — the paired design cleanly isolates the effect of the parental-consent qualifier (surgeries: 66% vs. 74% for a ban; blockers: 61% vs. 67%), which is genuine measurement rather than advocacy

Adult medical careforced choicein a trend series
adult access to hormone treatment and surgery

Which position do you agree with more? - Adults should be able to access gender transition care like hormone treatments after consulting with a physician / Adults should not be able to access gender transition care like hormone treatments at all - Adults should be able to access gender transition surgeries after consulting with a physician / Adults should not be able to access gender transition surgeries at all

Should be allowed 135%33% Should not be allowed

Wording notes: the restrictive option is an absolute prohibition ('at all'), with no intermediate restriction offered

tilts_affirming — the only alternative to access is a total adult ban, a position almost no one holds; a middle option (e.g. waiting periods, age floors above 18, insurance limits) would likely lower the 67-68% figure

Nondiscriminationforced choicein a trend series
business and landlord service refusal, and whether federal law should require equal treatment

Which position do you agree with more? - Businesses and landlords should be allowed to refuse service to transgender people / Businesses and landlords should be required to treat transgender people equally - Federal law should require businesses and landlords to treat transgender people equally / Federal law should let businesses and landlords set their own policies regarding serving transgender people

Businesses and landlords should be required to treat transgender people equally
69%
Federal law should require businesses and landlords to treat transgender people equally
59%
Federal law should let businesses and landlords set their own policies regarding serving transgender people
24%
Businesses and landlords should be allowed to refuse service to transgender people
15%
Not sure (federal law version)
17%

Wording notes: second version adds the federal-mandate frame to test how much of the support survives it

neutral — the paired design shows the cost of federalizing the requirement (69% -> 59%), which is a real and deliberately measured effect

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →