probability RDD
TMThe MassINC Polling Group
WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts poll · May 22–26, 2018 · US: Massachusetts
Data flag. DATE PRECISION: recorded as the whole of May 2018; the true window was May 22-26, 2018. Figures and MOE confirmed correct. | corrected from a whole-month placeholder | true window May 22-26 2018
Methodology
- Pollster
- The MassINC Polling Group media
- Sponsor
- WBUR
- Commissioned by
- WBUR
- Fielded
- May 22–26, 2018
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- —
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone (live interviewer), landline and cell
- Margin of error
- ±4.4 percentage points
- Weighting
- not retrieved
- Geography
- US: Massachusetts
Sources
Verification note. 52% opposed repeal / 38% supported repeal and the ±4.4 margin of error read from the WBUR story; exact field dates and sample size were not printed on the retrieved page and the linked topline/crosstab PDFs were not fetched, so dates are recorded at month precision. This was the earliest of the WBUR/MassINC Question 3 readings and showed markedly narrower support than the September reading and the November result.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (1)
repeal of the Massachusetts 2016 gender-identity public accommodations law (Question 3)
Would you support or oppose repealing the state law that protects transgender people from discrimination in public accommodations?
Wording reconstructed from: paraphrase from the WBUR story; the WBUR/MassINC topline PDF was not retrieved
Wording notes: a repeal-direction item: 'oppose' is the pro-nondiscrimination answer, the reverse of most nondiscrimination polling | the actual ballot question was also reverse-coded (a YES vote kept the law), which WBUR reported as a source of voter confusion
unclear — wording not verified against a topline; reverse-coded items of this kind are unusually sensitive to how the repeal direction is described