WBUR Poll - Massachusetts statewide (May 2018) · May 22–26, 2018 · US: Massachusetts
Methodology
- Pollster
- The MassINC Polling Group independent
- Sponsor
- WBUR
- Commissioned by
- WBUR
- Fielded
- May 22–26, 2018
- Population
- registered voters
- Sample size
- 501
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- telephone - live interviewer, landline and cell phone, conventional registration-based sampling
- Margin of error
- ±4.4 percentage points
- Weighting
- not disclosed
- Geography
- US: Massachusetts
Sources
Verification note. Topline and crosstab PDFs fetched directly from media.wbur.org; wording, percentages, n, field dates and MOE all read from the PDFs. BALLOT BENCHMARK: this poll asked about the prospective repeal measure that became Massachusetts Question 3, voted on 2018-11-06. Certified result: Yes (keep the law) 1,806,742 = 67.82%; No (repeal) 857,401 = 32.18%. Recoding this poll to a two-way share of decided voters gives keep 57.8% / repeal 42.2% (52/38), i.e. this May fielding understated the eventual 'keep' share by roughly 10 points - the earliest and least accurate of the pre-election polls, taken before the campaign engaged. || wording and percentages read directly from the WBUR/MassINC topline PDF; pollster describes a registration-based (voter file) sample, coded here as the nearest controlled sample_frame value with the raw description kept in mode
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
repeal of Massachusetts gender-identity public accommodations law (measure that became 2018 Question 3)
There may be a measure on the 2018 ballot that would repeal the law which allowed transgender people to use public restrooms and locker rooms consistent with their gender identities, regardless of their sex at birth. Would you support or oppose repealing this law? PROBE: And do you strongly (support/oppose) this idea, or just somewhat?
Wording notes: support/oppose is directed at REPEAL, so a 'support' answer is the anti-trans position - reverse of the eventual ballot's 'yes' = keep | describes the law only in terms of restroom and locker-room access, not the full public-accommodations scope | uses 'sex at birth'
neutral — symmetric support/oppose construction with a strength probe and an unforced don't-know; the restroom/locker-room-only description is narrower than the statute and is the framing repeal proponents preferred, but it is not evaluative language
Subgroup figures (15)