probability RDD

The MassINC Polling Group

WBUR Poll - Massachusetts 2018 General Election (final pre-election wave) · Oct 25–28, 2018 · US: Massachusetts

Methodology

Pollster
The MassINC Polling Group independent
Sponsor
WBUR
Commissioned by
WBUR
Fielded
Oct 25–28, 2018
Population
likely voters
Sample size
502
Sample frame
probability RDD
Mode
live telephone interviews via both landline and cell phone using conventional registration based sampling procedures
Margin of error
4.4 percentage points
Geography
US: Massachusetts
Base notes
likely voters in the November 2018 general election; item allowed for respondents who had already voted early

Sources

Verification note. Final WBUR pre-election read on Question 3, taken directly from the topline PDF. Yes 68 / No 26 versus the actual result of 67.8 / 32.2 - the poll was almost exactly right on Yes and low on No by about six points, the undecideds having broken against.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (1)

Nondiscriminationforced choicein a trend series
Massachusetts Question 3 vote intention (final pre-election wave)

Now I would like to ask you about several questions that will be on the ballot this November.

There will be a measure on the November ballot asking voters to approve a 2016 state law dealing with public accommodations for transgender people. A "yes" vote would keep in place the current law, which prohibits discrimination on the basis of gender identity in places of public accommodation. A "no" vote would repeal this provision of the public accommodation law. IF HAVE NOT VOTED, ASK If the election for this measure were held today, would you vote yes or no? IF UNDECIDED: How are you leaning as of today? IF ALREADY VOTED-Did you vote yes or no on this measure?

Yes (keep the law)
68%
No (repeal)
26%
Don't Know / Undecided (not read)
6%

Wording notes: ballot-measure vote intention | leaner probe | separate recall form for early voters

neutral — mirrors the official ballot summary; yes and no consequences stated symmetrically

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →