Trafalgar Group / Convention of States Action Nationwide Issues Survey - Sex Change, Minors · Oct 8–11, 2022 · US national
Methodology
- Pollster
- Trafalgar Group partisan_r
- Sponsor
- Convention of States Action
- Commissioned by
- Convention of States Action
- Fielded
- Oct 8–11, 2022
- Population
- likely voters
- Sample size
- 1,079
- Sample frame
- unknown
- Mode
- not stated in the report beyond a link to TheTrafalgarGroup.org/Polling-Methodology; Trafalgar's published method is a multi-mode blend of live caller, integrated voice response, text, email and online panel
- Margin of error
- ±2.9%
- Weighting
- not disclosed in the report
- Geography
- US national
Sources
Verification note. Wording, total and full party, age, gender and ethnicity crosstabs transcribed from the Trafalgar/Convention of States Action full report PDF. Column alignment after PDF text extraction was verified arithmetically: every Wait/Don't Wait pair in every crosstab sums to 100.0%. The report states response rate 1.44%, MoE 2.9%, 95% confidence and 50% response distribution but discloses no mode mix, weighting scheme or question order.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
whether minors should have to wait until adulthood for puberty blockers and surgery
Do you believe underage minors should be required to wait until they are adults to use puberty blockers and undergo permanent sex change procedures?
Wording notes: 'permanent sex change procedures' is the opponents' term and asserts irreversibility as a fact in the stem | bundles puberty blockers - which are prescribed precisely because they are reversible and time-limited - with surgery, so the 'permanent' characterization is carried onto both | 'underage minors' is a redundancy that emphasizes youth | binary with no 'unsure' or 'depends' option, forcing every respondent to a side | 'required to wait until they are adults' frames prohibition as deferral, which is easier to endorse than a ban
tilts_restrictive — the stem does the argumentative work: calling the interventions 'permanent sex change procedures' and folding reversible puberty blockers into that description makes the restrictive answer the only reasonable one, and removing the middle option prevents anyone from distinguishing the two treatments; the 78.7% result should be read as a measure of that framing, not of considered opinion on adolescent care
Subgroup figures (30)
