probability panel
UNH Survey Center
Bay State Poll (States of Opinion Project) · Mar 20–24, 2025 · US: Massachusetts
Methodology
- Pollster
- UNH Survey Center academic
- Sponsor
- University of New Hampshire Survey Center
- Fielded
- Mar 20–24, 2025
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 844
- Sample frame
- probability panel
- Panel
- Bay State Panel
- Mode
- online - probability-based Bay State Panel (approximately 1,750 Massachusetts adults recruited from phone, text-to-web, or mail-to-web surveys sent to randomly selected phone numbers or addresses), supplemented by text-to-web invitations
- Margin of error
- +/- 3.4 percent
- Weighting
- weighted by respondent sex, age, education, and region of the state to American Community Survey targets
- Geography
- US: Massachusetts
- Base notes
- 590 Bay State Panel members plus 254 Massachusetts residents recruited by text-message invitation
Sources
Verification note. Release titled 'Massachusetts Residents Strongly Disapprove of Trump on Economy and Tariffs, Most Expect Recession' (3/27/2025); the transgender-policy block is the same instrument fielded the same week in NH, ME and VT. Wording matches the UNH crosstab table headers; totals from the narrative and chart values.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
transgender women/girls in women's sports
Thinking about transgender female athletes, meaning athletes who were male at birth but who currently identify as female, do you think they should or should not be allowed to compete in women's sports?
Definitely should not
48%
Definitely should
16%
Probably should not
15%
Probably should
11%
Don't know/Not sure
10%
NET should not be allowed 63%NET should be allowed 26%
Wording notes: defines transgender female as 'male at birth but who currently identify as female'
neutral — symmetric should/should not construction
Subgroup figures (3)
transgender men in men's sports
Thinking about transgender male athletes, meaning athletes who were female at birth but who currently identify as male, do you think they should or should not be allowed to compete in men's sports?
Definitely should not
37%
Definitely should
21%
Probably should not
18%
Probably should
14%
Don't know/Not sure
10%
NET should not be allowed 55%NET should be allowed 35%
Wording notes: mirror-image item
neutral — symmetric should/should not construction
whether trans-athlete policy should be set federally or by states
President Trump recently signed an executive order banning transgender female athletes from competing in women's sports. However, some states, such as California, Minnesota, and Maine, allow transgender females to compete in women sports. Do you believe policy concerning transgender female athletes should be made at the federal level or should be left up to states to decide or do you not have an opinion on this?
Should be made at the federal level
52%
Left up to states to decide
35%
Don't know/No opinion
14%
Wording notes: names Trump's executive order | names three permissive states
unclear — partisan cue in the stem
Subgroup figures (3)