probability panel
UNH Survey Center
Granite State Poll · Mar 20–24, 2025 · US: New Hampshire
Methodology
- Pollster
- UNH Survey Center academic
- Sponsor
- University of New Hampshire Survey Center
- Fielded
- Mar 20–24, 2025
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,434
- Sample frame
- probability panel
- Panel
- Granite State Panel
- Mode
- online - probability-based Granite State Panel (approximately 9,000 NH adults recruited from phone, text-to-web, or mail-to-web surveys sent to randomly selected phone numbers or addresses), supplemented by text-to-web invitations
- Margin of error
- +/- 2.6 percent
- Weighting
- weighted by respondent sex, age, education, and region of the state to American Community Survey targets
- Geography
- US: New Hampshire
- Base notes
- 1,372 Granite State Panel members plus 62 New Hampshire residents recruited by text-message invitation
Sources
Verification note. Release titled 'Approval of Trump's Handling of Economy Declines in NH, Most Support Transgender Sports Policy' (3/27/2025). Wording taken verbatim from the crosstab table headers; totals taken from the narrative and chart values. Party figures are the NET 'should be allowed' figures reported in the narrative.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
transgender women/girls in women's sports
Thinking about transgender female athletes, meaning athletes who were male at birth but who currently identify as female, do you think they should or should not be allowed to compete in women's sports?
Definitely should not
54%
Probably should not
17%
Probably should
12%
Definitely should
10%
Don't know/Not sure
8%
NET should not be allowed 71%NET should be allowed 21%
Wording notes: defines transgender female as 'male at birth but who currently identify as female'
neutral — symmetric should/should not construction with a descriptive definitional gloss
Subgroup figures (3)
transgender men in men's sports
Thinking about transgender male athletes, meaning athletes who were female at birth but who currently identify as male, do you think they should or should not be allowed to compete in men's sports?
Definitely should not
43%
Probably should not
18%
Probably should
15%
Definitely should
14%
Don't know/Not sure
9%
NET should not be allowed 61%NET should be allowed 30%
Wording notes: mirror-image item to the trans female athletes question
neutral — symmetric should/should not construction
whether trans-athlete policy should be set federally or by states
President Trump recently signed an executive order banning transgender female athletes from competing in women's sports. However, some states, such as California, Minnesota, and Maine, allow transgender females to compete in women sports. Do you believe policy concerning transgender female athletes should be made at the federal level or should be left up to states to decide or do you not have an opinion on this?
Should be made at the federal level
48%
Left up to states to decide
39%
Don't know/No opinion
13%
Wording notes: names Trump's executive order in the stem | names California, Minnesota and Maine as permissive states
unclear — the stem imports a partisan cue and singles out three Democratic-run states, though the two alternatives are stated evenly
Subgroup figures (4)