probability panel
UNH Survey Center
Green Mountain State Poll (States of Opinion Project) · Mar 20–24, 2025 · US: Vermont
Methodology
- Pollster
- UNH Survey Center academic
- Sponsor
- University of New Hampshire Survey Center
- Fielded
- Mar 20–24, 2025
- Population
- adults
- Sample size
- 1,014
- Sample frame
- probability panel
- Panel
- Green Mountain State Panel
- Mode
- online - probability-based Green Mountain State Panel (approximately 2,750 Vermont adults recruited from phone, text-to-web, or mail-to-web surveys sent to randomly selected phone numbers or addresses), supplemented by text-to-web invitations
- Margin of error
- +/- 3.1 percent
- Weighting
- weighted by respondent sex, age, education, and region of the state to American Community Survey targets
- Geography
- US: Vermont
- Base notes
- 934 Green Mountain State Panel members plus 80 Vermont residents recruited by text-message invitation
Sources
Verification note. Release titled 'Vermonters Strongly Disapprove of Trump Presidency, Most Expect Recession' (3/27/2025). Same transgender-policy instrument as the NH, ME and MA polls fielded the same week. Vermont is the only one of the four states where a plurality would allow transgender male athletes in men's sports.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (3)
transgender women/girls in women's sports
Thinking about transgender female athletes, meaning athletes who were male at birth but who currently identify as female, do you think they should or should not be allowed to compete in women's sports?
Definitely should not
45%
Definitely should
19%
Probably should
15%
Probably should not
12%
Don't know/Not sure
8%
NET should not be allowed 57%NET should be allowed 35%
Wording notes: defines transgender female as 'male at birth but who currently identify as female'
neutral — symmetric should/should not construction
Subgroup figures (2)
transgender men in men's sports
Thinking about transgender male athletes, meaning athletes who were female at birth but who currently identify as male, do you think they should or should not be allowed to compete in men's sports?
Definitely should not
31%
Definitely should
26%
Probably should
20%
Probably should not
11%
Don't know/Not sure
11%
NET should be allowed 46%NET should not be allowed 43%
Wording notes: mirror-image item
neutral — symmetric should/should not construction
whether trans-athlete policy should be set federally or by states
President Trump recently signed an executive order banning transgender female athletes from competing in women's sports. However, some states, such as California, Minnesota, and Maine, allow transgender females to compete in women sports. Do you believe policy concerning transgender female athletes should be made at the federal level or should be left up to states to decide or do you not have an opinion on this?
Should be made at the federal level
46%
Left up to states to decide
37%
Don't know/No opinion
17%
Wording notes: names Trump's executive order | names three permissive states
unclear — partisan cue in the stem
Subgroup figures (4)