probability RDD

University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs Survey Research Center

AJC 2025 Legislative Survey (UGA SPIA Survey Research Center) · Jan 2–10, 2025 · US: Georgia

Methodology

Pollster: University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs Survey Research Center academic
Sponsor: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Commissioned by: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Fielded: Jan 2–10, 2025
Population: registered voters
Sample size: 1,000
Sample frame: probability RDD
Mode: Live interviewer telephone survey of 1,000 Georgia registered voters, January 2-10 2025, administered by the SPIA Survey Research Center at the University of Georgia; dual-frame statewide random sample of approximately 93 percent cell phone and 7 percent landline numbers drawn from L2 voter-file records.
Margin of error: plus or minus 3.1 points at the 95% confidence level
Weighting: iterative proportional raking to the active registrant population on education, race, sex, age and political party
Geography: US: Georgia
Base notes: Georgia registered voters; sample drawn from active registrant records.

Sources

Verification note. PARTIAL. Field dates, n and MoE are from the AJC write-up and are reliable, but the AJC did not publish verbatim question wording and the UGA SPIA topline was not located in this session. Percentages are reported by the AJC with hedges ('more than 70%', 'more than 54%', 'nearly 47%'); the numeric values recorded here are those hedged figures and should be treated as approximate lower bounds. No party breaks published. || FULLY RESOLVED. The AJC article (403 to the fetch tool, fine via curl) links a DocumentCloud crosstab file; the 29-page PDF 'AJC 2025 Legislative Survey, conducted by the SPIA Survey Research Center' was downloaded and its text extracted this session. Everything the previous record lacked is now present: verbatim wording for all three transgender items (Q15, Q16, Q17), the complete five-category distributions, and full crosstabs by sex, race, age, education, ideology, party, income and 2024 presidential vote. Full methodology: live interviewer telephone survey January 2-10 2025, 1,000 Georgia registered voters, dual-frame sample of about 93 percent cell and 7 percent landline drawn from L2 voter-file records, English only, raked on education, race, sex, age and party, margin of error 3.1 points. The AJC's hedged newspaper figures are now resolved to exact values: 'more than 70%' on sports is 70.1 (59.9 strongly plus 10.2 somewhat favor); 'more than 54%' on bathrooms is 54.2 (46.8 plus 7.4); 'nearly 47%' strongly agreeing is 46.8; and the discrimination net of 65 is 64.8 (40.0 a great deal plus 24.8 a fair amount), with 21.0 saying 'some'. Party breaks, which the previous note said were not published, are present in the crosstab and are recorded here.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (6)

General acceptanceparaphrased4-point scale

perceived level of discrimination against transgender people in Georgia

[not published] how much discrimination transgender people face - a great deal, a fair amount, some, or none

Wording reconstructed from: AJC write-up; verbatim wording not published

A great deal or a fair amount

65%

Some

21%

Wording notes: wording not verified

unclear — Verbatim wording not published by the AJC.

Sportsparaphrased4-point scale

requiring student athletes to play by the sex on their birth certificate

[not published] whether student athletes should be required to play sports according to the sex on their birth certificate

Wording reconstructed from: AJC write-up; verbatim wording not published

Favor (net) - reported as 'more than 70%'

70%

Wording notes: wording not verified

unclear — Verbatim wording not published by the AJC.

Bathrooms & facilitiesparaphrasedagree/disagree

limiting bathroom use to the gender on the birth certificate

[not published] whether transgender people should be limited to using the bathroom that corresponds to the gender on their birth certificate

Wording reconstructed from: AJC write-up; verbatim wording not published

Strongly agree - reported as 'nearly 47%'

47%

Agree (net) - reported as 'more than 54%' 54%

Wording notes: wording not verified | agree/disagree format subject to acquiescence bias

unclear — Verbatim wording not published by the AJC.

General acceptance4-point scalein a trend series

perceived level of discrimination against transgender people

How much discrimination do you think there is against transgender people in our society today?

A great deal

40%

A fair amount

24.8%

Some

21%

None at all

9.5%

Don't know

4.7%

A great deal or a fair amount (NET) 64.8%

Wording notes: asked immediately before the two restrictive-policy items, so it may prime a discrimination frame

neutral — a standard symmetric amount scale with a don't-know option and no evaluative language

Subgroup figures (115)

party

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
Republican	17%	26.8%	32.7%	16.4%	7.1%
Democrat	65.2%	23%	8%	0.6%	3.2%
Independent	37.4%	26.3%	21.9%	11.2%	3.2%

ideology

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
Liberal	67.3%	20.9%	10.4%	0.4%	1.1%
Moderate	41%	36.4%	15.4%	5.1%	2.1%
Conservative	24.5%	22.4%	29.4%	16.7%	6.9%

gender

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
Male	30.1%	22.8%	25.2%	15.5%	6.5%
Female	48.6%	26.4%	17.4%	4.5%	3.2%

age

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
18-29	40.6%	24.6%	22.2%	7.7%	4.8%
30-44	43.1%	27.3%	15.4%	11.9%	2.4%
45-64	37%	23.2%	25.3%	10.1%	4.4%
65+	40.8%	26.3%	19.2%	6.6%	7%

race

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
White	32.6%	24.6%	26.3%	10.8%	5.8%
Black	55.8%	23.4%	11.4%	6.7%	2.6%
Other	25.4%	32.4%	23.9%	14.1%	4.2%

education

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
High School or less	38.7%	27.5%	18.2%	10.2%	5.4%
Some College	35.7%	26.6%	22.7%	11%	3.9%
BA/Graduate	44.4%	20.9%	22.5%	7.9%	4.3%

other

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
Under $50,000	43.6%	25.5%	23.6%	3.6%	3.6%
$50,000-99,999	44.3%	24.3%	17.7%	9.3%	4.3%
$100,000 and up	38.4%	26.5%	20.8%	8.9%	5.4%

2024_vote

Group	A great deal	A fair amount	Some	None at all	Don't know
Trump Voter	15.6%	23.8%	34.9%	18.9%	6.9%
Harris Voter	64.2%	25.1%	8.3%	0.9%	1.5%

Bathrooms & facilities4-point scalein a trend series

laws requiring bathroom use matching the sex on the original birth certificate

Would you favor or oppose laws or policies that require transgender individuals to use public bathrooms that match the sex on their original birth certificate, not the gender they identify with?

46.8%

10%

14.1%

21.5%

Favor 54%36% Oppose

Favor (NET) 54.2%

Wording notes: uses 'original birth certificate' | states the alternative inside the item ('not the gender they identify with')

neutral — the policy is stated once with its alternative named explicitly, and the favor/oppose scale is symmetric with a don't-know

Subgroup figures (115)

party

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Republican	79%	3.3%	2.1%	10.2%	5.4%
Democrat	21.3%	6.5%	27.8%	33.1%	11.2%
Independent	38.4%	12.9%	14%	20.4%	14.3%

ideology

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Liberal	15.5%	5.4%	29.6%	40.1%	9.4%
Moderate	27.2%	19.5%	20.5%	16.9%	15.9%
Conservative	73.1%	3.5%	3.7%	12.9%	6.9%

gender

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Male	53%	7.5%	14.6%	16.7%	8.2%
Female	41.3%	7.3%	13.6%	25.8%	12%

age

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
18-29	52.2%	7.2%	18.4%	14%	8.2%
30-44	43.9%	5.1%	16.6%	20.9%	13.4%
45-64	49%	7.1%	11.5%	23.6%	8.8%
65+	42.5%	10.3%	11.7%	26.2%	9.3%

race

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
White	55.9%	5.5%	8.2%	21.9%	8.5%
Black	31.1%	9.1%	26.1%	21.1%	12.6%
Other	48.6%	13.9%	5.6%	20.8%	11.1%

education

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
High School or less	57.4%	5.8%	13.5%	17.9%	5.4%
Some College	52.9%	5.2%	12.7%	18.8%	10.4%
BA/Graduate	33.2%	10.9%	15.5%	27%	13.4%

other

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Under $50,000	47.5%	6.8%	16.7%	15.8%	13.1%
$50,000-99,999	43.3%	7.3%	17.7%	23.7%	8%
$100,000 and up	46.6%	7.6%	11.7%	24.1%	10%

2024_vote

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Trump Voter	77.2%	3.8%	2.7%	9.1%	7.3%
Harris Voter	19.4%	9.2%	26.4%	34.1%	10.9%

Sports4-point scalein a trend series

laws requiring athletes to compete on teams matching the sex on the original birth certificate

Would you favor or oppose laws or policies that require transgender athletes to compete on sports teams that match the sex on their original birth certificate, not the gender they identify with?

59.9%

10.2%

9.8%

13.8%

Favor 70%24% Oppose

Favor (NET) 70.1%

Wording notes: uses 'original birth certificate' | exactly parallel in construction to the bathroom item, which makes the 16-point gap between them a clean within-survey comparison

neutral — identical construction to Q16 with the alternative stated; symmetric scale with a don't-know

Subgroup figures (115)

party

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Republican	86%	3%	3.6%	6.9%	0.6%
Democrat	35.5%	14.2%	18%	22.5%	9.8%
Independent	59.1%	11.5%	9%	11.5%	9%

ideology

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Liberal	31.4%	15.2%	18.4%	25.6%	9.4%
Moderate	51.8%	13.3%	12.8%	11.8%	10.3%
Conservative	79.8%	5.7%	3.9%	7.6%	3.1%

gender

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Male	63.4%	10.7%	8.4%	11.1%	6.4%
Female	56.8%	9.8%	11.1%	16.1%	6.2%

age

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
18-29	56.5%	11.6%	15%	15%	1.9%
30-44	61.3%	15%	5.9%	9.1%	8.7%
45-64	63.5%	8.4%	9.1%	12.5%	6.4%
65+	56.8%	6.1%	9.9%	19.7%	7.5%

race

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
White	67.7%	8%	7%	11.8%	5.5%
Black	46.2%	14%	15.5%	17.3%	7%
Other	59.7%	9.7%	5.6%	15.3%	9.7%

education

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
High School or less	69%	5.4%	10.5%	10.2%	4.8%
Some College	60.6%	12.7%	3.9%	18.9%	3.9%
BA/Graduate	52.4%	12%	14.4%	12%	9.2%

other

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Under $50,000	57.5%	5.4%	10.4%	21.7%	5%
$50,000-99,999	60.7%	9%	10.7%	13.3%	6.3%
$100,000 and up	57.7%	16.3%	10%	9.8%	6.2%

2024_vote

Group	Strongly favor	Somewhat favor	Somewhat oppose	Strongly oppose	Don't know
Trump Voter	85.4%	6.4%	1.3%	5.3%	1.6%
Harris Voter	35.7%	13.1%	18.5%	22.9%	9.8%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →

UOUniversity of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs Survey Research Center

Methodology

Sources

Questions asked (6)

party

ideology

gender

age

race

education

other

2024_vote

party

ideology

gender

age

race

education

other

2024_vote

party

ideology

gender

age

race

education

other

2024_vote

University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs Survey Research Center