probability panel

Washington Post/UMD

Washington Post-University of Maryland poll (national sports poll) · May 4–17, 2022 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
Washington Post/UMD media
Sponsor
The Washington Post and the University of Maryland (Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement; Shirley Povich Center for Sports Journalism)
Commissioned by
The Washington Post
Fielded
May 4–17, 2022
Population
adults
Sample size
1,503
Sample frame
probability panel
Panel
SSRS Opinion Panel (recruited by address-based sampling and RDD of cell/landline phones)
Mode
online self-administered questionnaire, in English and Spanish, fielded to the SSRS Opinion Panel
Margin of error
plus or minus three percentage points, including design effects due to weighting
Weighting
weighted to U.S. adults 18+ by age, race/ethnicity, gender, education, region, population density, civic engagement and party affiliation; benchmarks from the 2019 American Community Survey and 2019 Current Population Survey, with party affiliation benchmarked to Washington Post-ABC News polls
Geography
US national
Base notes
Unweighted subgroup bases and error margins published: sports fans 1,264 (+/-3.5); parents of children of any age 973 (+/-4); parents of children under 18 442 (+/-6)

Sources

Verification note. Full topline PDF retrieved from DocumentCloud and read directly: all wording, response options, Total percentages and the complete methodology block are verbatim from that document. Party and age breakdowns are from the Washington Post write-up (accessed via a Wayback capture), not from a published crosstab, and are recorded as reported. Note the released topline covers questions 5-12 only; questions 1-4 and 13-40 from the same fielding were marked 'held for release', so any additional trans items in this fielding are not in this document.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (6)

Contact & populationmultiple responsein a trend series
personally knowing someone who is transgender

On another topic, people who are transgender identify as a gender that is different from the sex they were assigned at birth.

On another topic, people who are transgender identify as a gender that is different from the sex they were assigned at birth. Aside from acquaintances, do you personally know someone who is transgender, or not? (Select all that apply)

No
60%
Someone else
25%
A close friend
9%
A family member
8%
Myself
3%
NET Yes (know someone transgender) 40%NET Close friend/family 16%

Wording notes: supplies a neutral definition of transgender before asking, which standardizes the referent | 'Aside from acquaintances' raises the threshold relative to earlier PRRI trend wording, so the trend comparison printed beneath it is not strictly like-for-like

neutral — Definition supplied in neutral terms taken from the group's own self-description; response options are exhaustive and non-leading. The Post is explicit in the topline that the pre-2022 trend rows come from PRRI with different wording.

General acceptance5-point scalein a trend series
whether greater social acceptance of transgender people is good or bad for society

Do you think the greater social acceptance of transgender people is:

Very good for society
26%
Somewhat good for society
14%
Somewhat bad for society
14%
Very bad for society
11%
Neither good nor bad for society
35%
NET Good for society 40%NET Bad for society 25%

Wording notes: explicit middle category 'neither good nor bad', which absorbs 35% and depresses both the good and bad shares | trend row is drawn from a Pew Research Center item with different wording, which the topline discloses

neutral — Symmetric five-point good/bad scale with an explicit neutral midpoint and intensity gradations on both sides. The one caveat is placement: it directly follows the personal-contact item, which the Post's write-up shows is strongly associated with the answer (70% good among those with a trans close friend or family member versus 35% among those without).

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupNET Good for society
Democrats64%
Independents40%
Republicans14%

age

GroupNET Good for society
Age 18-2954%
Age 30-3948%
Age 40-4946%
Age 50-6428%
Age 65+32%

other

GroupNET Good for societyNeither good nor bad for societyNET Bad for society
Has close friend or family member who is transgender70%——
No transgender close friend or family member35%38%28%
Sportsforced choicein a trend series
transgender women and girls competing in women's and girls' sports, by level

Thinking about transgender women and girls - people whose sex was classified as male at birth but who currently identify as female -

Thinking about transgender women and girls - people whose sex was classified as male at birth but who currently identify as female - do you think transgender women and girls should or should not be allowed to compete in sports with other women and girls at each of the following levels?

Professional sports - Should not be allowed
58%
College sports - Should not be allowed
58%
High school sports - Should not be allowed
55%
Youth sports - Should not be allowed
49%
Youth sports - Should be allowed
33%
High school sports - Should be allowed
30%
Professional sports - Should be allowed
28%
College sports - Should be allowed
28%
Youth sports - No opinion
17%
Professional sports - No opinion
15%
College sports - No opinion
15%
High school sports - No opinion
15%

Wording notes: asks only about transgender women and girls, never about transgender men and boys | defines trans women as 'people whose sex was classified as male at birth', foregrounding natal sex | offers an explicit 'no opinion' option, which 15-17% take | asks each competitive level separately, which is a methodological strength - most polls collapse them

neutral — The definition supplied is clinical rather than pejorative, both response directions are stated, and an explicit no-opinion option is offered rather than forcing a side. Separating professional, college, high school and youth levels is unusually careful and does surface a real gradient (28% to 33% 'should be allowed'). The asymmetry of asking only about trans women is a genuine limitation, though it tracks where the policy debate actually sits.

Sports4-point scalein a trend series
concern about mental health of transgender girls excluded from youth sports

If transgender girls are not allowed to compete with other girls in youth sports, how concerned are you that the mental health of transgender girls will suffer?

Somewhat concerned
35%
Not too concerned
25%
Not at all concerned
22%
Very concerned
17%
NET Concerned 52%NET Less concerned 48%

Wording notes: presents the strongest argument against bans and is paired with question 9, which presents the strongest argument for them | conditional framing ('If transgender girls are not allowed...') asks respondents to reason about a counterfactual

neutral — Read alone this item raises only the argument against exclusion, but it is immediately paired with question 9 raising the argument for it, and both come after the participation battery rather than before, so neither can prime the headline measure. The four-point concern scale is balanced with no forced direction.

Sportsforced choicein a trend series
perceived competitive advantage of transgender girls in youth sports

If transgender girls are allowed to compete with other girls in youth sports, do you think:

Transgender girls would have a competitive advantage over other girls
68%
Other girls would have a competitive advantage over transgender girls
2%
Neither would have an advantage
30%

Wording notes: includes a formally symmetric but substantively implausible option ('other girls would have a competitive advantage'), which only 2% choose | asks about perceived advantage rather than about any evidence for it

neutral — The response set is formally balanced - advantage in either direction plus 'neither' plus no opinion - and the item is paired with the countervailing mental-health question. The reverse-direction option functions as a symmetry device rather than a live alternative, but including it is better practice than a bare yes/no on whether trans girls have an advantage.

Contact & populationmultiple responsein a trend series
parents reporting a transgender, non-binary or gender-nonconforming child

Asked of the 64% who said yes to question 10, 'Are you a parent or guardian of a child of any age, including adult children?'

(AMONG PARENTS) Are any of your children: (Select all that apply)

Parent of a transgender child (NET of Q10/Q11)
1%
Parent of a non-binary child (NET of Q10/Q11)
1%
Parent of a gender-nonconforming child (NET of Q10/Q11)
1%

Wording notes: places transgender, non-binary and gender-nonconforming alongside male and female in a single 'select all that apply' list, so the categories are not mutually exclusive

neutral — A descriptive demographic item with no evaluative content. The select-all format lets a parent report a child as both female and transgender, which is the correct design choice here.

Subgroup figures (5)

parent_status

GroupMaleFemaleTransgenderNon-binaryGender nonconforming
Parents72%74%2%1%1%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →