probability RDD
Williams Institute (UCLA)
How Many Adults and Youth Identify as Transgender in the United States? (June 2022 update) · Jan 2017 – Dec 31, 2020 · US national, regional and 50-state estimates
Methodology
- Pollster
- Williams Institute (UCLA) academic
- Sponsor
- The Williams Institute
- Fielded
- Jan 2017 – Dec 31, 2020
- Population
- adults 18+ (BRFSS) and high school students ages 13-17 (YRBS)
- Sample size
- —
- Sample frame
- probability RDD
- Mode
- BRFSS: telephone (landline and cellular), interviewer-administered. YRBS: self-administered in-school questionnaire.
- Margin of error
- credible intervals published per estimate
- Weighting
- survey weights plus multilevel regression and poststratification to produce state, regional and national estimates
- Geography
- US national, regional and 50-state estimates
- Base notes
- Pooled 2017-2020 BRFSS across the 43 states that had used the optional gender identity module at least once, plus the 2017 and 2019 YRBS across the 15 states that included the transgender question. Pooled respondent counts were not printed in the sections retrieved.
Sources
Verification note. Population estimate, not an opinion poll. Figures read from the report's executive summary. This is the '1.6 million' estimate that dominated 2022-2024 press coverage and litigation filings.
Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.
Questions asked (1)
estimated share and number of adults and youth who identify as transgender
Do you consider yourself to be transgender?
Identify as transgender (over 1.6 million people)
0.6%
Wording notes: combines an interviewer-administered adult measure with a self-administered youth measure, which is one reason the adult and youth rates differ so sharply
neutral — See the 2014 record; the measurement caveats are identical.
Subgroup figures (6)