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YouGov

The Economist/YouGov Poll · Oct 6–8, 2019 · US national

Methodology

Pollster
YouGov commercial
Sponsor
The Economist
Commissioned by
The Economist
Fielded
Oct 6–8, 2019
Population
adults
Sample size
1,500
Sample frame
online opt-in
Panel
YouGov Panel
Mode
Web-based interviews; respondents selected from YouGov's opt-in Internet panel using sample matching against a stratified random sample drawn from the American Community Survey
Margin of error
±2.9% (adjusted for weighting)
Weighting
Weighted to U.S. adult population targets on gender, age, race, education and prior presidential vote; full weighting statement in the source PDF.
Geography
US national
Base notes
Q34 and Q36 were each asked of a randomized half sample (n about 750).

Sources

Verification note. Crosstab PDF downloaded and parsed; totals and party columns read directly and verified. Party crosstab for Q36 could not be disambiguated from the extracted text and is omitted.

Figures below are transcribed from these documents. Where they disagree with the source, the source governs.

Questions asked (7)

General acceptance4-point scalein a trend series
perceived level of discrimination faced by transgender people

Level of discrimination -- Transgender people

How much discrimination do the following people face in America today?

A great deal
39%
A fair amount
30%
Not much
20%
None at all
11%

Wording notes: battery item

neutral — standard balanced four-point discrimination scale

Subgroup figures (12)

party

GroupA great dealA fair amountNot muchNone at all
Democrat65%23%6%6%
Independent33%33%22%12%
Republican16%34%33%16%
Military servicesupport/opposein a trend series
allowing transgender people to serve in the military

Do you support or oppose allowing transgender people to serve in the military?

Support 49%31% Oppose

Wording notes: drops 'openly' relative to the 2017-2018 version, so it is a different item

neutral — plain support/oppose with a Not sure

Subgroup figures (9)

party

GroupSupportOpposeNot sure
Democrat77%13%11%
Independent42%26%31%
Republican26%58%17%
Nondiscriminationsupport/opposein a trend series
federal employment nondiscrimination law

Do you support or oppose a law that would prohibit discrimination in hiring and employment based on sexual orientation or gender identity?

Support 51%27% Oppose

Wording notes: bundles sexual orientation and gender identity in one item, so it does not isolate transgender protections | fielded the week the Supreme Court heard Harris Funeral Homes / Bostock

neutral — plain support/oppose; the bundling is a measurement limitation rather than a slant

Subgroup figures (9)

party

GroupSupportOpposeNot sure
Democrat71%19%10%
Independent44%26%30%
Republican40%36%24%
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
which bathroom transgender people should use

Do you think transgender people should use the bathrooms that correspond with their birth gender or with their current gender identity?

Birth gender
39%
Current gender identity
36%
Not sure
25%

Wording notes: uses 'birth gender' here; later fieldings of the same tracker say 'assigned sex at birth'

neutral — two-sided forced choice with an explicit Not sure; the term change in later waves is a comparability caveat

Subgroup figures (9)

party

GroupBirth genderCurrent gender identityNot sure
Democrat20%61%19%
Independent36%30%34%
Republican67%17%16%
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
personal discomfort seeing a transgender man in a men's restroom

Asked of half of respondents

Would it make you feel uncomfortable if you saw someone who identifies as male, but you know was born female, enter and use the men's restroom?

Yes, I would feel uncomfortable
44%
No, it would not matter
44%
Prefer not to say
12%

Wording notes: split-half pair with the trans-woman version (Q36) | describes the person as 'someone who identifies as male, but you know was born female' rather than as a transgender man | measures personal discomfort rather than policy preference

tilts_restrictive — the 'but you know was born female' construction cues the respondent to treat birth sex as the operative fact and presupposes the respondent would know; the design is nonetheless valuable because the two halves are otherwise identical

Subgroup figures (9)

party

GroupYes, I would feel uncomfortableNo, it would not matterPrefer not to say
Democrat25%69%5%
Independent44%40%15%
Republican66%19%14%
Bathrooms & facilitiesforced choicein a trend series
personal discomfort seeing a transgender woman in a women's restroom

Asked of half of respondents

Would it make you feel uncomfortable if you saw someone who identifies as female, but you know was born male, enter and use the women's restroom?

Yes, I would feel uncomfortable
49%
No, it would not matter
41%
Prefer not to say
10%

Wording notes: split-half pair with the trans-man version (Q34) | party crosstab not extracted

tilts_restrictive — mirror of Q34; discomfort is 5 points higher for the transgender-woman version, which is the point of the split

Pronouns & languageapprove/disapprovein a trend series
firing a teacher for refusing a student's pronouns

Do you approve or disapprove of firing a teacher for refusing to use a transgender student's new pronouns?

Approve 27%49% Disapprove

Wording notes: asks about the sanction (firing) rather than about the underlying pronoun policy, which is a much harder test | prompted by a specific Virginia news story asked about in the preceding item

neutral — wording is even-handed, but by asking about dismissal rather than about whether teachers should use a student's pronouns it measures views on employment sanctions, and should not be read as opposition to pronoun use as such

Subgroup figures (15)

party

GroupStrongly approveSomewhat approveSomewhat disapproveStrongly disapproveNot sure
Democrat24%24%14%14%24%
Independent10%10%19%32%29%
Republican7%8%15%55%15%

Every figure on this page is transcribed from the source linked above. How to read this data →