Transgender Polling Archive

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Every question, with its verbatim wording, its toplines, and a link to the pollster’s own release. Filters combine; the address updates so any view can be shared.

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2 questions from 2 polls

Trafalgar Groupfor Convention of States ActionPolitical salienceOct 25–30, 2022
vote likelihood for a candidate supporting gender-affirming care for minors

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate in the 2022 midterms elections who supports allowing underage minors to use puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and undergo sex-change surgeries?

Not likely at all
63.3%
Very likely
14.1%
Somewhat more likely
13.3%
Somewhat less likely
9.4%
Not Likely (net) 72.7%Likely (net) 27.4%
Sample
1,080 likely voters · ±2.9%
Method
unknown
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 18 subgroup figures
Wording notes: stacks three interventions of very different profiles - puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones and surgeries - into one clause'sex-change surgeries' rather than any clinical term'allowing underage minors' omits parents and physicians entirely, implying the candidate would let children decide aloneno neutral or 'no difference' option, so respondents with no view must pick a directionasked in the closing days of a midterm campaign by a group actively campaigning on the issue
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Very likely
  • Somewhat more likely
  • Somewhat less likely
  • Not likely at all
Trafalgar Groupfor Convention of States ActionYouth medical careOct 8–11, 2022
whether minors should have to wait until adulthood for puberty blockers and surgery

Do you believe underage minors should be required to wait until they are adults to use puberty blockers and undergo permanent sex change procedures?

Wait
78.7%
Don't Wait
21.3%
Sample
1,079 likely voters · ±2.9%
Method
unknown
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 30 subgroup figures
Wording notes: 'permanent sex change procedures' is the opponents' term and asserts irreversibility as a fact in the stembundles puberty blockers - which are prescribed precisely because they are reversible and time-limited - with surgery, so the 'permanent' characterization is carried onto both'underage minors' is a redundancy that emphasizes youthbinary with no 'unsure' or 'depends' option, forcing every respondent to a side'required to wait until they are adults' frames prohibition as deferral, which is easier to endorse than a ban
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Wait
  • Don't Wait

Figures transcribed from public sources; each links to the original release. How to read this data →