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1,931 questions from 644 polls

AP-NORCfor The Associated PressIdentity beliefsMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
whether gender is determined by biological characteristics at birth

[HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Which statement comes closer to your own views, even if neither is exactly right? Would you say:

Whether someone is a man or a woman is determined by their biological characteristics at birth
68%
Someone can be a man or a woman even if that identity is different from their biological characteristics at birth
31%
Skipped/refused
1%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: uses 'biological characteristics at birth' rather than 'sex assigned at birth'no middle option offeredresponse order rotated across half samples
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Whether someone is a man or a woman is determined by their biological characteristics at birth
  • Someone can be a man or a woman even if that identity is different from their biological characteristics at birth
  • DON'T KNOW
  • SKIPPED/REFUSED
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressAdult medical careMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
Medicare/Medicaid coverage of gender-affirming care for adults 19 and older

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose public health insurance programs, like Medicare or Medicaid covering gender-affirming medical treatment, such as puberty blockers and hormone therapy, for the following? People age 19 and older who are transgender or nonbinary

Strongly oppose
53%
Strongly oppose
42%
Strongly oppose
42%
Neither favor nor oppose
23%
Neither favor nor oppose
23%
Strongly/somewhat oppose (NET) 66%Strongly/somewhat oppose (NET) 53%Strongly/somewhat oppose (NET) 53%Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 23%Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 23%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 3 subgroup figures

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: offers an explicit middle 'neither favor nor oppose' optionthe illustrative treatments named ('puberty blockers and hormone therapy') are the same for the adult item as for the under-19 item, which is an odd fit for adults
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressMilitary serviceMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
allowing transgender people to serve in the military

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? Allowing transgender men and women to serve in the military

Favor 37%26% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 37%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: explicit middle option depresses both favor and oppose relative to forced-choice trend questions asked by other pollsters
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressSchool policyMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
forced parental notification of a student's gender identity

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? Requiring public school teachers to report to parents if their children are identifying as transgender or nonbinary at school

Favor 43%28% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 43%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: 'report to parents' framing; no counter-consideration (student safety, outing risk) supplied
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressYouth medical careMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
banning gender-affirming medical treatment for people under 19

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? Banning gender-affirming medical treatment, such as puberty blockers and hormone therapy, for people under the age of 19

Favor 46%32% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 46%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: ban framing: 'favor' is the restrictive response, the reverse polarity of the TRANS3 coverage itemsage cutoff of 19 rather than 18
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressBathrooms & facilitiesMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
transgender students' bathroom access in public schools

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? Allowing transgender students to use the bathrooms that match their gender identity in public schools

Favor 22%55% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 22%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: directly comparable in wording to the UChicago Harris/AP-NORC March 2022 SCHL4 item, but with an added 'in public schools' clause and a different scale layout
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressIdentity beliefsMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
whether sex/gender is determined by biological characteristics at birth

[HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Which statement comes closer to your own views, even if neither is exactly right? Would you say: Whether someone is a man or a woman is determined by their biological characteristics at birth / Someone can be a man or a woman even if that identity is different from their biological characteristics at birth

Whether someone is a man or a woman is determined by their biological characteristics at birth
68%
Someone can be a man or a woman even if that identity is different from their biological characteristics at birth
31%
Skipped/Refused
1%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: no middle option offeredresponse-option order rotated across half samples, mitigating primacy effects
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Whether someone is a man or a woman is determined by their biological characteristics at birth
  • Someone can be a man or a woman even if that identity is different from their biological characteristics at birth
  • DON'T KNOW
  • SKIPPED/REFUSED
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressMilitary serviceMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
four-item policy grid: military service, school parental notification, ban on care under 19, school bathrooms

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following?

Favor 34%55% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 46%Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 43%Strongly/somewhat favor (NET) 37%Strongly/somewhat oppose (NET) 32%Strongly/somewhat oppose (NET) 28%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: explicit middle option, which absorbs a large share (18-36%) on every itemthe four rows are not directionally aligned - three are phrased as permissive ('allowing...') and one as restrictive ('banning...'), so 'favor' means the opposite thing across rowsthe military row is the mirror image of Trump's January 2025 executive order, and support for allowing service (37% favor / 26% oppose) exceeds opposition
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressMilitary serviceparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
allowing transgender people to serve in the military, measured with an explicit neutral option

Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose allowing transgender men and women to serve in the military?

Favor 37%26% Oppose
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: offers an explicit middle 'neither' category, which absorbs about a third of respondents and makes the topline non-comparable with Gallup's two-way forced choice
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Oppose
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressIdentity beliefsparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
whether being a man or woman is determined by sex assigned at birth

Do you think whether someone is a man or a woman is determined by the sex they were assigned at birth?

Determined by sex assigned at birth
68%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: AP framed the finding as agreement with President Trump's position, a framing that appears in the write-up rather than the item
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes, determined by sex assigned at birth
  • No
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressBathrooms & facilitiesparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
transgender students' bathroom access in public schools

Do you favor or oppose allowing transgender students to use the bathrooms that match their gender identity in public schools?

Oppose
55%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Oppose
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressYouth medical careparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
banning gender-affirming care for under-19s regardless of payer

Do you favor or oppose banning gender-affirming medical treatment for people under the age of 19, no matter who is paying for it?

Favor a ban
46%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Oppose
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressBathrooms & facilitiesMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
trans students using school bathrooms matching gender identity

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? [GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Allowing transgender students to use the bathrooms that match their gender identity in public schools

Favor 22%55% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor NET 22%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: explicit 'neither favor nor oppose' midpointgrid items randomizedresponse-option order rotated across half samples
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressYouth medical careMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
banning gender-affirming medical treatment for people under 19

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? [GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Banning gender-affirming medical treatment, such as puberty blockers and hormone therapy, for people under the age of 19

Favor 46%32% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor NET 46%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: restrictive direction is the 'favor' polenames the treatments (puberty blockers, hormone therapy)explicit 'neither favor nor oppose' midpoint
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressMilitary serviceMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
trans people serving in the military

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? [GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Allowing transgender men and women to serve in the military

Favor 37%26% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor NET 37%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: explicit 'neither favor nor oppose' midpoint
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressSchool policyMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
mandatory parental notification when a student identifies as transgender at school

Do you favor, neither favor nor oppose, or oppose each of the following? [GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Requiring public school teachers to report to parents if their children are identifying as transgender or nonbinary at school

Favor 43%28% Oppose
Strongly/somewhat favor NET 43%
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: explicit 'neither favor nor oppose' midpointframes the duty as teachers reporting to parents
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Neither favor nor oppose
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • DK
  • SKIP/REF
AP-NORCfor The Associated PressParty & candidate handlingMay 2025 – May 5, 2025
Trump approval on transgender issues

[GRID ITEMS RANDOMIZED; HALF SAMPLE ASKED RESPONSE OPTIONS IN REVERSE ORDER]

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling...?

Approve 52%46% Disapprove
Sample
1,175 adults · +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design effect (6.1 pts Democrats, 6.3 pts Republicans, 9.8 pts independents)
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: 1,101 completed via the web and 74 by telephone; 65 interviews removed in quality-assurance checks prior to weighting

Wording notes: grid item labelled only 'Transgender issues' with no policy content
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Approve
  • Disapprove
  • DK
  • SKP/REF
GallupSportsparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
trans athletes - birth sex vs current gender identity teams

Next, we have a question about policies for competitive sports that have separate teams for male and female athletes.

Next, we have a question about policies for competitive sports that have separate teams for male and female athletes. Do you think transgender athletes -- [ROTATED: should be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identity (or) should only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender]?

Should only be allowed to play on teams that match their birth gender
69%
Should only be allowed to play on teams that match their birth gender
69%
Should only be allowed to play on teams that match their birth gender
62%
Should be able to play on teams that match their current gender identity
34%
Should be able to play on teams that match their current gender identity
26%
Should be able to play on teams that match their current gender identity
24%
No opinion
6%
No opinion
5%
No opinion
4%
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 48 subgroup figures

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: uses 'birth gender'/'birth sex'no middle option offereddoes not distinguish level of sport
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Should be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identity
  • Should only be allowed to play on sports teams that match their birth gender / birth sex
  • No opinion
GallupLegal documents & IDsparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
sex/gender marker on passports and driver's licenses

Whether a person's birth sex or their current gender identity should be listed on government documents such as passports or driver's licenses.

Birth sex should be listed
66%
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: first fielded 2025 - no trendbinary forced choice with no 'X'/nonbinary marker option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Birth sex
  • Current gender identity
  • No opinion
GallupGeneral acceptanceMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
moral acceptability of changing one's gender

Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong.

Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong. -- Changing one's gender

Morally acceptable 40%54% Morally wrong
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 3 subgroup figures

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: frames gender transition as a moral questionbattery placement alongside transgressive behaviors
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Morally acceptable
  • Morally wrong
  • Depends on situation (vol.)
  • Not a moral issue (vol.)
  • No opinion
GallupIdentity beliefsMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
whether being transgender is innate or a product of upbringing/environment

In your view, is being transgender something a person is born with or due to factors such as upbringing and environment?

Upbringing and environment
50%
Born with it
30%
Both (vol.)
7%
Neither (vol.) or no opinion
11%
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: first fielded 2025 - no trendbinary born-with vs upbringing frame excludes accounts that are neither purely innate nor environmental'both' and 'neither' were volunteered rather than offered
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Born with it
  • Upbringing and environment
  • Both (vol.)
  • Neither (vol.)
  • No opinion
GallupIdentity beliefsMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
whether being transgender is innate or environmental -- Form B half sample

In your view, is being transgender -- [ROTATED: something a person is born with, (or) due to factors such as upbringing and environment]?

Upbringing/environment
50%
Born with
30%
Both (vol.)
7%
No opinion
9%
Neither (vol.)
4%
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 79 subgroup figures

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: asked of Form B only (n=501)response alternatives rotatedparallels question 40, the same item about being gay or lesbian, which was put to the other half samplevolunteered 'both' and 'neither' are recorded but not read
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Something a person is born with
  • Due to factors such as upbringing and environment
  • Both (vol.)
  • Neither (vol.)
  • No opinion
GallupLegal documents & IDsMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
birth sex vs. gender identity on driver's licenses and passports -- Form B half sample, first asking

Next, when it comes to obtaining government documents such as driver's licenses or passports,

Next, when it comes to obtaining government documents such as driver's licenses or passports, do you think -- [ROTATED: people should be required to list their birth sex on the document (or) people should be able to list their gender identity instead of their birth sex if they differ]?

People should be required to list their birth sex
66%
People should be able to list their gender identity if they differ
27%
No opinion
7%
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 48 subgroup figures

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: asked of Form B only (n=501)response alternatives rotatedfirst and so far only asking -- Gallup's trend table for this item carries a single rowthe affirming option is phrased as an exception conditional on the two differing ('if they differ')
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • People should be required to list their birth sex on the document
  • People should be able to list their gender identity instead of their birth sex if they differ
  • No opinion
GallupGeneral acceptanceMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
moral acceptability of changing one's gender -- full sample, the one item in the battery NOT split

Next, I'm going to read you a list of issues. Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong.

Next, I'm going to read you a list of issues. Regardless of whether or not you think it should be legal, for each one, please tell me whether you personally believe that in general it is morally acceptable or morally wrong. How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]? -- Changing one's gender

Morally acceptable 173%211% Morally wrong
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: asked of the full sample, unlike the four policy items in the same waveitem order randomized within the morality battery'changing one's gender' is Gallup's own label and names no person or policy
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Morally acceptable
  • Morally wrong
  • Depends on the situation (vol.)
  • Not a moral issue (vol.)
  • No opinion
GallupLegal documents & IDsparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
birth sex vs. gender identity on passports and driver's licenses

Should a person's birth sex or their current gender identity be listed on government documents such as passports or driver's licenses?

Birth sex
66%
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: uses 'birth sex' vs 'current gender identity' contrastno middle option offered
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Birth sex
  • Current gender identity
  • No opinion
GallupSportsparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 18, 2025
trans athletes on teams matching birth sex

Do you think transgender athletes should be able to play only on sports teams that match their birth gender, or should they be able to play on sports teams that match their current gender identity?

Only teams that match their birth gender
69%
Teams that match their current gender identity
24%
Sample
1,003 adults · +/- 4 percentage points on the full sample of 1,003; +/- 5 percentage points on each half sample (Form A n=502, Form B n=501)
Method
probability RDD
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 3 subgroup figures

Base: The four born-with/policy items were divided between two random half samples rather than asked of everyone. Form A (n=502) received question 40 (cause of being gay or lesbian) and question 42 (transgender athletes); Form B (n=501) received question 41 (cause of being transgender) and question 43 (government documents). Gallup states the margin of sampling error on each half sample is +/- 5 percentage points, against +/- 4 on the full sample, and marks every affected row in the topline with the footnote '^ Asked of a half sample'. Only the morality item (question 21V) was asked of the full 1,003.

Wording notes: uses 'birth gender'no middle option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Only teams that match their birth gender
  • Teams that match their current gender identity
  • No opinion
PRRINondiscriminationMay 2025 – May 31, 2025
LGBT nondiscrimination protections in jobs, public accommodations and housing (item explicitly names transgender people)

Q12. Do you favor or oppose each of the following?

Laws that would protect gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender people against discrimination in jobs, public accommodations, and housing.

Favor 36%16% Oppose
Favor 37%
Sample
adults
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Monthly AVA wave; the transgender-specific items (Q12d bathroom, Q11d equal rights) were fielded only in the March and September 2025 waves.

Wording notes: bundles transgender people with gay, lesbian and bisexual people in one itemthree policy domains combined in one question (jobs, public accommodations, housing)
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Favor
  • Oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • Skipped/Refused
Pan Atlantic ResearchSportsparaphrasedMay 2025 – May 31, 2025
whether Maine should comply with federal transgender sports policy to preserve education funding

[stem not published] whether Maine should follow federal guidelines on transgender sports participation to avoid losing education funds, or should not comply with federal demands

Maine should comply with federal guidelines
53%
Maine should not comply with federal demands
32%
Undecided
14%
Sample
840 likely voters · 3.5 percentage points
Method
unknown
Where
US: Maine
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 3 subgroup figures

Base: 840 likely Maine voters reached in mid-May 2025.

Wording notes: bundles the transgender-athlete policy with a threatened loss of federal education fundingasks about compliance with a federal demand rather than about the underlying policy
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Maine should comply with federal guidelines
  • Maine should not comply with federal demands
  • Undecided
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteIdentity beliefsApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
whether gender can differ from sex at birth

Here is a follow up question on one of those issues: issues related to people who are transgender.

Here is a follow up question on one of those issues: issues related to people who are transgender. From your point of view, do you think whether a person is a man or a woman...?

Is determined by the sex a person is at birth
63%
Can be different from the sex a person is at birth
37%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: no 'not sure' option offered - forced binary
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Can be different from the sex a person is at birth
  • Is determined by the sex a person is at birth
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstitutePolitical salienceApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
media exposure to transgender issues

How much have you been hearing or reading about issues related to people who are transgender lately?

Fair amount
38%
A great deal
25%
Just some
20%
A little
12%
Nothing at all
5%
Total great deal/fair amount 63%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • A great deal
  • Fair amount
  • Just some
  • A little
  • Nothing at all
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteGeneral acceptanceApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
pace of societal change on transgender issues

Thinking about transgender issues, would you say society is...?

Changing too quickly
46%
Not changing quickly enough
32%
Changing at about the right speed
22%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: 'too quickly' listed first
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Changing too quickly
  • Not changing quickly enough
  • Changing at about the right speed
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteGeneral acceptanceApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
has society gone too far in accommodating transgender people

Which of the following statements comes closest to your view?

Society has gone too far in accommodating people who are transgender
48%
Society has not gone far enough in accommodating people who are transgender
32%
Society has been about right
20%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: 'accommodating' framing
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Our society has gone too far in accommodating people who are transgender
  • Our society has not gone far enough in accommodating people who are transgender
  • Our society has been about right when it comes to accommodating people who are transgender
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstitutePolitical salienceApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
whether each party focuses too much on transgender issues

Many questions in the remainder of this survey are going to be about issues related to transgender people. Please read the following statement so everyone has the same understanding of some of the terms that will be used. People who are transgender have a gender identity that is different from the sex they were assigned at birth. For example, a person assigned male at birth who identifies as a woman, or a person assigned female at birth who identifies as a man. Transgender people may or may not take steps to live according to their gender, including changing their name, the pronouns they use, their clothing or appearance, or undergoing hormone therapy or other medical procedures.

When it comes to transgender issues and policies, do you think (insert item) are...?

Focusing too much on transgender issues
54%
Focusing about the right amount
41%
Focusing too much on transgender issues
35%
Focusing about the right amount
31%
Not focusing enough on transgender issues
24%
Not focusing enough on transgender issues
15%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: preceded by a neutral definitional preamble that is unusual in this literature
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Focusing too much on transgender issues
  • Not focusing enough on transgender issues
  • Focusing about the right amount on transgender issues
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteGeneral acceptanceApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
respecting the right to live as one wants, by age group (split sample)

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - Whether we approve or not, we should respect the right of adults to live as they want when it comes to decisions related to their gender identity. - [Form A] Whether we approve or not, we should respect the right of youth in high school to live as they want when it comes to decisions related to their gender identity. - [Form B] Whether we approve or not, we should respect the right of youth in elementary and middle school to live as they want when it comes to decisions related to their gender identity.

Strongly agree
55%
Total agree 88%Total agree 61%Total agree 51%Total disagree 49%Total disagree 39%Total disagree 12%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: 'Whether we approve or not' concedes disapproval up front, which lowers the cost of agreeingage is systematically varied to locate the tolerance thresholdno don't-know option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly agree
  • Somewhat agree
  • Somewhat disagree
  • Strongly disagree
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteYouth medical careApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
who should decide policy on youth gender-transition care

Next you will see several situations involving transgender issues along with different people who could be involved in enacting policies and making decisions about each situation. Please rank the three groups of people that you most want to be involved in enacting policies and making decisions for each issue.

Next you will see several situations involving transgender issues along with different people who could be involved in enacting policies and making decisions about each situation. Please rank the three groups of people that you most want to be involved in enacting policies and making decisions for each issue. - Policies related to whether minors under age 18 should have access to medical care and treatment for gender transitions.

Parents (ranked first)
52%
Healthcare providers (ranked first)
14%
Medical and scientific experts (ranked first)
10%
I don't want any of these involved in this
8%
The President of the United States (ranked first)
4%
Members of Congress and Senators (ranked first)
3%
State legislators and governors (ranked first)
3%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: decision-authority framing rather than policy-position framing
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Parents
  • Healthcare providers (doctors, pediatricians, counselors, psychologists)
  • Medical and scientific experts
  • The President of the United States
  • Members of Congress and Senators
  • State legislators and governors
  • School boards, city councils, and other local elected leaders
  • Religious and faith leaders
  • Professionals who run sports leagues
  • I don't want any of these involved in this
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteSportsApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
federal sports ban vs. local control (split-sample statement test)

Next you will read two statements that you could hear from a member of Congress about transgender girls and women and sports. Please select the statement that is closest to your point of view, even if it is not exactly how you feel.

Next you will read two statements that you could hear from a member of Congress about transgender girls and women and sports. Please select the statement that is closest to your point of view, even if it is not exactly how you feel. STATEMENT A: Congress should pass laws that will apply across the country to make sure that transgender girls and women cannot compete in girl's and women's sports. STATEMENT B [Form A]: I understand that there are concerns about the safety and fairness of transgender girls and women playing in girl's and women's sports, I just think the question of who plays in sports should be left up to school boards and local sports associations, not the federal government. STATEMENT B [Form B]: The issue of whether transgender girls and women can play in girl's and women's sports should be left to school boards and sports associations, not the federal government.

Total Statement A - Congress should ban
56%
Total Statement A - Congress should ban
56%
Total Statement B - leave to school boards and local sports associations
44%
Total Statement B - leave to school boards and sports associations
44%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: split-sample test of whether conceding the safety/fairness concern helps the local-control positionno neutral or don't-know option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Statement A much more
  • Statement A somewhat more
  • Statement B somewhat more
  • Statement B much more
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteContact & populationApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
contact with transgender people and experience discussing the issue

Below are some statements about experiences that people may or may not have had. For each of the following, please indicate whether or not you have had each experience.

Below are some statements about experiences that people may or may not have had. For each of the following, please indicate whether or not you have had each experience.

I know someone who is transgender
53%
I have disagreed with someone that I respect on transgender issues
46%
I know someone who has a transgender family member
45%
I have worried about offending someone or saying what might be considered the "wrong" thing when talking about transgender issues
34%
I have reconsidered my views or opinions on a topic related to transgender issues after hearing new information
32%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • I have had this experience
  • I have not had this experience
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstitutePolitical salienceApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
audio message test of three Democratic congressional positions on trans issues

Next you are going to react to three audio clips from a Democratic member of Congress about the issues that have been discussed in this survey.

Next you are going to react to three audio clips from a Democratic member of Congress about the issues that have been discussed in this survey. Please focus on the content and substance of the remarks and not the quality of the clip itself or how it is edited. We want your reaction to the ideas being expressed. [PURE PIVOT] These are hard issues. We should give each other the benefit of the doubt and treat everyone with dignity. We should also recognize and acknowledge that people have different views on these issues. That's why decisions on transgender issues should be made by parents, medical professionals, and sports leagues, not Congress. Congress' priority should be creating good jobs, holding down the cost of groceries and consumer goods, and expanding access to healthcare. [REPOSITION + PIVOT] These are hard issues. We should give each other the benefit of the doubt and respect different viewpoints. The most important thing is to protect our kids, and Congress should act to set basic rules: biological men should not be able to compete against girls in high school and higher-level sports, kids should not be allowed to make medical decisions without parental consent, and everyone should be protected from discrimination - including transgender people. Other than that, Congress should defer to parents and local authorities and focus on making everything from groceries to healthcare more affordable. [COMPROMISE/GOP LIGHT] When it comes to these issues, we need to rely more on common sense to come up with solutions. While we should always treat everyone with dignity, it's just as important that we ensure fairness and safety for everyone. That means protecting girls and women's sports so they are not competing against biological men, upholding the right of parents to be the lead in making decisions about their children's access to medical care, and giving parents as much say as possible in deciding if and when their children are exposed to these issues. Based on this, use a 0 to 10 scale to indicate your overall reaction to the clip, where a 0 means very unfavorable and a 10 means very favorable.

Rated 9-10
42%
Rated 9-10
41%
Rated 9-10
37%
Mean favorability (0-10)
7.4%
Mean favorability (0-10)
7.4%
Mean favorability (0-10)
7.1%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: all three tested positions are variants of retreat or repositioning; no clip defends trans-inclusive policyclips were delivered as audio, not text
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • 0-10 favorability scale
Hart Research Associatesfor Searchlight InstituteOtherApr 28, 2025 – May 5, 2025
nine-policy favor/oppose battery spanning nondiscrimination, military, youth medical, bathrooms, and sports

Below are several policies that people have proposed related to transgender issues. For each one, please indicate whether you favor or oppose that policy.

Below are several policies that people have proposed related to transgender issues. For each one, please indicate whether you favor or oppose that policy.

Protect transgender individuals from discrimination in jobs, housing, and public spaces such as restaurants and stores - favor
85%
Allow transgender individuals to serve in the military if they meet the physical and psychological criteria for service - favor
67%
Allow healthcare professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care related to gender transition only if parents provide consent - favor
54%
Allow transgender individuals to use public bathrooms that match their gender identity - favor
42%
Allow transgender youth to use school bathrooms that match their gender identity - favor
38%
Allow healthcare professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care related to gender transition (no consent qualifier) - favor
32%
Allow transgender girls to compete in girls' sports in elementary school and middle school - favor
32%
Allow transgender girls and women to compete in female sports in high school, college, pro, and other competitive leagues - favor
29%
Allow transgender girls to compete in girls' sports in elementary school - favor
28%
Sample
1,458 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US - 40 battleground congressional districts
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record

Base: Includes oversamples yielding 262 Hispanic registered voters and 261 Black registered voters. Several items were split-sampled between Form A and Form B halves.

Wording notes: no don't-know option - respondents are forced to a sideyouth-medical and sports items are split-sampled with and without a parental-consent or age qualifier
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
IpsosNondiscriminationApr 25, 2025 – May 9, 2025
protection from discrimination in employment, housing and public accommodations

How much do you agree or disagree with the following?

Transgender people should be protected from discrimination in employment, housing, and access to businesses such as restaurants and stores

Agree 68%22% Disagree
Sample
1,000 adults 18-74 · credibility interval of +/- 3.5 percentage points for a sample of 1,000
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: US sample is approximately 1,000 of 19,028 adults interviewed across 26 countries; US respondents aged 18-74 and the US sample is described by Ipsos as representative of the general adult population under 75

Wording notes: agree/disagree format subject to acquiescence bias
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly/somewhat agree
  • Not sure
  • Strongly/somewhat disagree

Figures transcribed from public sources; each links to the original release. How to read this data →