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18 questions from 3 polls

Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesAug 5–7, 2016
support or opposition to HB2

Do you support or oppose House Bill 2?

Support 30%43% Oppose
Sample
830 likely voters · plus or minus 3.4 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: not-sure share rises to 27 percent from 21 percent in Maynames the bill only by number
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingParty & candidate handlingAug 5–7, 2016
approval of Governor McCrory's handling of HB2

Do you approve or disapprove of how Governor Pat McCrory has handled HB2?

Approve 39%47% Disapprove
Sample
830 likely voters · plus or minus 3.4 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: candidate-handling item
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Approve
  • Disapprove
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingPolitical salienceAug 5–7, 2016
whether McCrory's handling of HB2 affects vote choice

Does Governor McCrory's handling of HB2 make you more or less likely to vote for him this fall, or does it not make a difference?

Less Likely
43%
More Likely
31%
Does not make a difference
17%
Not sure
8%
Sample
830 likely voters · plus or minus 3.4 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: a self-reported vote-effect item, which respondents are poor at answering accuratelyoffers an explicit no-difference option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • More Likely
  • Less Likely
  • Does not make a difference
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesAug 5–7, 2016
whether HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina

Overall, do you think HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina?

HB2 is hurting North Carolina
58%
HB2 is helping North Carolina
22%
Not sure
20%
Sample
830 likely voters · plus or minus 3.4 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: directly comparable to the May wave
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 is helping North Carolina
  • HB2 is hurting North Carolina
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesAug 5–7, 2016
perceived economic impact of HB2

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on the North Carolina economy, or has it not made a difference?

HB2 has had a negative impact on NC economy
58%
Has not made a difference
24%
HB2 has had a positive impact on NC economy
8%
Not sure
10%
Sample
830 likely voters · plus or minus 3.4 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: directly comparable to the May wave
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 has had a positive impact on NC economy
  • HB2 has had a negative impact on NC economy
  • Has not made a difference
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesAug 5–7, 2016
perceived impact of HB2 on North Carolina's national reputation

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on North Carolina's reputation nationally, or has it not made a difference?

HB2 has had a negative impact on NC reputation
55%
HB2 has had a positive impact on NC reputation
19%
Has not made a difference
18%
Not sure
9%
Sample
830 likely voters · plus or minus 3.4 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: directly comparable to the May wave
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 has had a positive impact on NC reputation
  • HB2 has had a negative impact on NC reputation
  • Has not made a difference
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesAug 5–7, 2016
whether HB2 has made North Carolina safer

Do you think House Bill 2 has made North Carolina safer, or not?

HB2 has not made NC safer
50%
HB2 has made NC safer
29%
Not sure
21%
Sample
830 likely voters · plus or minus 3.4 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: tests the bill's stated rationale; the safer share falls from 36 in May to 29 in August
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 has made NC safer
  • HB2 has not made NC safer
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesJun 20–21, 2016
support for North Carolina House Bill 2

Do you support or oppose House Bill 2?

Support 32%43% Oppose
Sample
947 registered voters · ±3.2 percentage points
Method
IVR
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 4 subgroup figures
Wording notes: the bill is referred to only by number - the question never mentions transgender people, bathrooms, or the local-ordinance preemption the law also containedno description of the law's contents is offered, so the result depends entirely on what respondents already believe HB2 does
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support House Bill 2
  • Oppose House Bill 2
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesJun 20–21, 2016
whether HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina

Overall, do you think HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina?

HB2 is hurting North Carolina
52%
HB2 is helping North Carolina
28%
Not sure
20%
Sample
947 registered voters · ±3.2 percentage points
Method
IVR
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record
Wording notes: no 'no effect' option between helping and hurtingasked after the support/oppose item, which may anchor the answer
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 is helping North Carolina
  • HB2 is hurting North Carolina
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesJun 20–21, 2016
economic impact of HB2

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on the North Carolina economy, or has it not made a difference?

Negative impact on economy
49%
Has not made a difference
32%
Positive impact on economy
10%
Not sure
10%
Sample
947 registered voters · ±3.2 percentage points
Method
IVR
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record
Wording notes: explicit 'has not made a difference' option, unlike Q11
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Positive impact on economy
  • Negative impact on economy
  • Has not made a difference
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesJun 20–21, 2016
reputational impact of HB2

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on North Carolina's reputation nationally, or has it not made a difference?

Negative impact on reputation
50%
Has not made a difference
22%
Positive impact on reputation
19%
Not sure
9%
Sample
947 registered voters · ±3.2 percentage points
Method
IVR
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Positive impact on reputation
  • Negative impact on reputation
  • Has not made a difference
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesJun 20–21, 2016
whether HB2 made North Carolina safer

Do you think House Bill 2 has made North Carolina safer, or not?

HB2 has not made North Carolina safer
47%
HB2 has made North Carolina safer
30%
Not sure
24%
Sample
947 registered voters · ±3.2 percentage points
Method
IVR
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 1 subgroup figure
Wording notes: tests the sponsors' own stated rationale for the law
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 has made North Carolina safer
  • HB2 has not made North Carolina safer
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesMay 20–22, 2016
support or opposition to HB2

Do you support or oppose House Bill 2?

Support 35%44% Oppose
Sample
928 registered voters · plus or minus 3.2 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures
Wording notes: names the bill only by number, so responses depend on what respondents believe HB2 does21 percent not sure
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesMay 20–22, 2016
whether HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina

Overall, do you think HB2 is helping or hurting North Carolina?

HB2 is hurting North Carolina
56%
HB2 is helping North Carolina
29%
Not sure
15%
Sample
928 registered voters · plus or minus 3.2 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures
Wording notes: consequence framing rather than a policy-preference item
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 is helping North Carolina
  • HB2 is hurting North Carolina
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesMay 20–22, 2016
perceived economic impact of HB2

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on the North Carolina economy, or has it not made a difference?

Negative impact on economy
50%
Has not made a difference
30%
Positive impact on economy
12%
Not sure
9%
Sample
928 registered voters · plus or minus 3.2 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: offers an explicit no-difference option, which 30 percent take
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Positive impact on economy
  • Negative impact on economy
  • Has not made a difference
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesMay 20–22, 2016
perceived impact of HB2 on North Carolina's national reputation

Do you think House Bill 2 has had a positive or negative impact on North Carolina's reputation nationally, or has it not made a difference?

Negative impact on reputation
53%
Positive impact on reputation
24%
Has not made a difference
18%
Not sure
6%
Sample
928 registered voters · plus or minus 3.2 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: reputation framing
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Positive impact on reputation
  • Negative impact on reputation
  • Has not made a difference
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesMay 20–22, 2016
whether HB2 has made North Carolina safer

Do you think House Bill 2 has made North Carolina safer, or not?

HB2 has not made North Carolina safer
47%
HB2 has made North Carolina safer
36%
Not sure
17%
Sample
928 registered voters · plus or minus 3.2 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures
Wording notes: tests the bill's own stated rationale directly
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 has made North Carolina safer
  • HB2 has not made North Carolina safer
  • Not sure
Public Policy PollingBathrooms & facilitiesMay 20–22, 2016
whether HB2 should be repealed

Do you think that HB2 should be repealed, or do you think it should be kept in place?

HB2 should be repealed
50%
HB2 should be kept in place
38%
Not sure
12%
Sample
928 registered voters · plus or minus 3.2 percent
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US: North Carolina
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures
Wording notes: repeal framing produces a larger anti-HB2 margin (50-38) than the plain support/oppose item (35-44) in the same survey
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • HB2 should be repealed
  • HB2 should be kept in place
  • Not sure

Figures transcribed from public sources; each links to the original release. How to read this data →