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1,931 questions from 644 polls

YouGovGeneral acceptanceDec 5–10, 2024
whether society has gone too far in accepting transgender people

Which of the following statements comes closer to your feelings?

Gone too far
35%
Not gone far enough
32%
About right
15%
Not sure
19%
Sample
1,115 adult citizens · ±4% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 12 subgroup figures
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Our society has gone too far in accepting people who are transgender
  • Our society has been about right when it comes to accepting people who are transgender
  • Our society has not gone far enough in accepting people who are transgender
  • Not sure
YouGovIdentity beliefsDec 5–10, 2024
agreement that a transgender woman is a woman

Identity of Transgender Men/Women -- A transgender woman is a woman

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

Agree 35%50% Disagree
Sample
1,115 adult citizens · ±4% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 9 subgroup figures
Wording notes: bare agree/disagree with no strength scale
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Agree
  • Disagree
  • Not sure
Marquette Law School PollNondiscriminationDec 2–11, 2024
Bostock v. Clayton County - workplace protections for gay and transgender workers

In 2020 the Supreme Court ruled that a federal civil rights law protects gay and transgender workers from workplace discrimination. How much do you favor or oppose this decision?

Favor 79%20% Oppose
Sample
1,063 adults · ±3.6 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 12 subgroup figures
Wording notes: bundles sexual orientation and gender identity into one itemdescribes an existing Court holding rather than an abstract policy
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
Marquette Law School PollSportsDec 2–11, 2024
policy proposal: require transgender athletes to compete on teams matching sex assigned at birth (4-point)

[Require that transgender athletes compete on teams that match the sex they were assigned at birth, not the gender they identify with] Which of the following proposals would you favor and which would you oppose?

Favor 76%24% Oppose
Sample
1,063 adults · ±3.6 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 12 subgroup figures
Wording notes: uses 'the sex they were assigned at birth'restrictive alternative is the only one stated
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
Marquette Law School PollYouth medical careDec 2–11, 2024
policy proposal: ban gender-affirming care such as hormone therapy or surgery for minors under 18 (4-point)

[Ban "gender-affirming" care such as hormone therapy or surgery for transgender minors under 18] Which of the following proposals would you favor and which would you oppose?

Favor 61%39% Oppose
Sample
1,063 adults · ±3.6 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 12 subgroup figures
Wording notes: scare quotes around "gender-affirming"names hormone therapy and surgery but not puberty blockersrestrictive alternative is the only one stated
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Somewhat favor
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
Marquette Law School PollSportsDec 2–11, 2024
requiring trans athletes to compete on teams matching sex assigned at birth

Do you favor or oppose each of the following policies?

Require that transgender athletes compete on teams that match the sex they were assigned at birth, not the gender they identify with

Favor 76%24% Oppose
Sample
1,063 adults · ±3.6 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: uses 'sex they were assigned at birth'uses 'transgender athletes' (not 'biological males')no middle option offeredlevel of sport not specified
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Favor
  • Oppose
Marquette Law School PollYouth medical careDec 2–11, 2024
ban on gender-affirming care for minors

Do you favor or oppose each of the following policies?

Ban "gender-affirming" care such as hormone therapy or surgery for transgender minors under 18

Favor 61%39% Oppose
Sample
1,063 adults · ±3.6 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: puts 'gender-affirming' in scare quotesno middle option offered
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Favor
  • Oppose
Marquette Law School PollYouth medical careDec 2–11, 2024
under 18; 'gender-affirming' care in scare quotes, exemplified as hormone therapy or surgery; BAN framing as a policy proposal

Which of the following proposals would you favor and which would you oppose?

Which of the following proposals would you favor and which would you oppose? [item] Ban "gender-affirming" care such as hormone therapy or surgery for transgender minors under 18

Favor 61%39% Oppose
Sample
1,063 adults · ±3.6 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: places 'gender-affirming' in scare quotes, signaling distance from the term inside the stimulusbundles hormone therapy with surgeryBAN direction (favor = restrict)no middle option publishedasked in a battery alongside a trans-athletes item and a parental-medical-decision item
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Favor
  • Oppose
YouGovfor The EconomistSportsNov 23–26, 2024
banning transgender athletes from women's sports teams

Support or Oppose Trump Policies -- Banning transgender athletes from playing on women's sports teams

Would you support or oppose the following?

Support 61%25% Oppose
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record
Wording notes: battery item framed as one of Donald Trump's announced policies, which invites partisan cue-takingrestrictive direction is the support sideparty crosstab not extracted for this item
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly support
  • Somewhat support
  • Support (net)
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • Oppose (net)
  • Not sure
YouGovfor The EconomistParty & candidate handlingNov 23–26, 2024
expectation that Trump will ban transgender athletes

Will Trump Implement Policies -- Banning transgender athletes from playing on women's sports teams

Do you think Donald Trump will implement the following once he is elected president?

Yes
70%
No
8%
Not sure
22%
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 9 subgroup figures
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Not sure
YouGovfor The EconomistSportsNov 23–26, 2024
trans women in women's sports conditional on testosterone suppression

If transgender women take testosterone suppression therapy, would you favor or oppose allowing their participation in women's sports?

Support 19%60% Oppose
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 14 subgroup figures
Wording notes: conditions participation on hormone suppression, testing whether the medical objection is the operative oneparty crosstab not extracted; 2024 presidential-vote columns recorded instead
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly support
  • Somewhat support
  • Support (net)
  • Somewhat oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • Oppose (net)
  • Not sure
YouGovfor The EconomistContact & populationNov 23–26, 2024
personally knowing a transgender person

Do you personally know someone who is transgender? Select all that apply.

No
65%
Yes, an acquaintance
22%
Yes, someone I know well
14%
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 9 subgroup figures
Wording notes: closeness-graded contact measure (know well / acquaintance) rather than a yes-no
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes, someone I know well
  • Yes, an acquaintance
  • No
YouGovfor The EconomistGeneral acceptanceNov 23–26, 2024
whether society has gone too far in accepting transgender people

Which of the following statements comes closer to your feelings?

Gone too far
41%
Not gone far enough
26%
About right
15%
Not sure
18%
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 12 subgroup figures
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Our society has gone too far in accepting people who are transgender
  • Our society has been about right when it comes to accepting people who are transgender
  • Our society has not gone far enough in accepting people who are transgender
  • Not sure
YouGovfor The EconomistPolitical salienceNov 23–26, 2024
whether lawmakers focus too much on transgender legislation

Compared to other issues, do you think that lawmakers are focusing too much or too little on legislation relating to transgender issues?

Focusing too much
49%
Focusing about the right amount
16%
Focusing too little
16%
Not sure
20%
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 12 subgroup figures
Wording notes: drops 'in your state' relative to the 2022-2023 version, so it is a national rather than state item'too much / too little' is directionally ambiguous
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Focusing too much
  • Focusing about the right amount
  • Focusing too little
  • Not sure
YouGovfor The EconomistPolitical salienceNov 23–26, 2024
awareness of the Capitol single-sex facility rule

How much have you heard about the rule restricting single-sex facilities -- such as restrooms, changing rooms, and locker rooms -- in the Capitol and House Office Buildings to only be used by people of the designated biological sex?

A little
40%
Nothing at all
34%
A lot
26%
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 9 subgroup figures
Wording notes: uses the rule's own phrase 'designated biological sex'prompted by the November 2024 House rule adopted after Sarah McBride's election
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • A lot
  • A little
  • Nothing at all
YouGovfor The EconomistBathrooms & facilitiesNov 23–26, 2024
which bathrooms transgender members of Congress should use

Do you think that transgender members of the House of Representatives should use the bathrooms that correspond with their...?

Assigned sex at birth
51%
Current gender identity
19%
Either one
12%
Not sure
17%
Sample
1,590 adult citizens · ±3.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 12 subgroup figures
Wording notes: asked immediately after an awareness item about the Capitol rule, which primes the restrictive frameoffers an 'Either one' option that most bathroom items omit
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Assigned sex at birth
  • Current gender identity
  • Either one
  • Not sure
Harvard CAPS/HarrisAdult medical careNov 14, 2024
ending public funding of gender surgery for prisoners and immigrants

Do you support or oppose each of the following polices? Ending government payments for sex change operations for prisoners and illegal aliens

Support 65%19% Oppose
Sample
1,732 registered voters · not disclosed
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Single-day fielding. Unweighted and weighted base 1,732.

Wording notes: 'illegal aliens' is a pejorative used in the stem'sex change operations' is not a clinical termbundles prisoners and immigrantstypo 'polices'
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly Support
  • Somewhat Support
  • Somewhat Oppose
  • Strongly Oppose
  • Unsure/ Don't Know
YouGovfor Yahoo NewsPolitical salienceparaphraseddata flagNov 14–18, 2024
how much voters heard about Harris's plan to protect transgender rights

[How much have you heard about] Harris's "plan" to "protect the rights of transgender people"?

Heard 'a lot' or 'some' (NET)
74%
Heard 'a lot' or 'some' about Harris's plan to protect the rights of transgender people (NET)
74%
Heard 'a lot' or 'some' about lowering the cost of living for the middle class (NET)
51%
Heard 'a lot' or 'some' about securing the U.S. border with Mexico (NET)
36%
Sample
1,612 adults · approximately 2.6 percent
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Nationally representative sample of 1,612 U.S. adults; the 74 percent figure is reported among Americans who voted in 2024.

Wording notes: one item in a battery of eight campaign policies, which is what makes the comparison interpretableYahoo's own scare quotes around 'plan' reflect that Harris did not campaign on it
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • A lot
  • Some
  • Not much
  • Nothing at all
YouGovfor Yahoo NewsGeneral acceptanceparaphraseddata flagNov 14–18, 2024
whether transgender rights have gone too far

transgender rights have gone too far, infringing on the rights of women and children / protecting transgender rights is essential to ensuring equality for all Americans

Transgender rights have gone too far, infringing on the rights of women and children
56%
Transgender rights have gone too far, infringing on the rights of women and children
56%
Protecting transgender rights is essential to ensuring equality for all Americans
32%
Protecting transgender rights is essential to ensuring equality for all Americans
32%
Sample
1,612 adults · approximately 2.6 percent
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Nationally representative sample of 1,612 U.S. adults; the 74 percent figure is reported among Americans who voted in 2024.

Wording notes: the restrictive option carries a concrete harm claim ('infringing on the rights of women and children') while the affirming option carries only an abstract principleWAVE ATTRIBUTION UNCERTAIN - may belong to an earlier November 2024 Yahoo/YouGov fielding
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Transgender rights have gone too far, infringing on the rights of women and children
  • Protecting transgender rights is essential to ensuring equality for all Americans
Napolitan News Service (RMG Research)for Napolitan News Service Gold Circle MembersSportsNov 13, 2024
whether trans women should be allowed to compete in women's sports

Should biological males who identify as women be allowed to participate in women's sports events?

No
75%
Yes
13%
Not sure
11%
Sample
1,000 registered voters · ±3.1 percentage points
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: 'biological males who identify as women' is the restrictive-side term of art and the only descriptor offeredno counter-framing or competing consideration offeredyes/no rather than a scaled item, which suppresses intensity
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Not sure
Napolitan News Service (RMG Research)for Napolitan News Service Gold Circle MembersSchool policyNov 13, 2024
whether lessons about exploring or changing gender identity should be taught in public schools

Should lessons about exploring or changing gender identity be taught in public schools?

No
68%
Yes
19%
Not sure
13%
Sample
1,000 registered voters · ±3.1 percentage points
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: 'exploring or changing gender identity' describes instruction as an invitation to transition rather than as instruction about the existence of trans peopleno grade level specified, so respondents supply their own - typically the youngest
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Not sure
Napolitan News Service (RMG Research)for Napolitan News Service Gold Circle MembersYouth medical careNov 13, 2024
criminalizing puberty blockers, hormones and surgery for minors

Should it be against the law to provide children under 18 with puberty blockers, drugs, and/or surgery to help them transition from one gender to another?

Yes
72%
No
18%
Not sure
10%
Sample
1,000 registered voters · ±3.1 percentage points
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record
Wording notes: bundles puberty blockers, hormones and surgery into one item although surgery on minors is rare and the three have very different clinical profiles'against the law' asks about criminalization, a higher bar than 'should be allowed', which typically raises restrictive shares'children under 18' rather than 'adolescents' or 'minors' maximizes the youngest readingno mention of parental consent or physician involvement
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Not sure
PRRINondiscriminationNov 8, 2024 – Dec 2, 2024
LGBT nondiscrimination protections in jobs, public accommodations and housing (item explicitly names transgender people)

Q10. How much do you favor or oppose each of the following? [RANDOMIZE]:

Laws that would protect gay, lesbian, bisexual, and transgender people against discrimination in jobs, public accommodations, and housing.

Strongly favor
37%
Strongly oppose
7%
Skipped/Refused
4%
Favor 39%Oppose 14%
Sample
5,772 adults · +/- 1.72 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Ipsos KnowledgePanel; 4,757 of the 5,772 respondents were 2024 voters (MOE +/- 1.9 points for the voter subsample). This is AVA Wave 4 for 2024, labeled 'Nov. 2024' in the AVA LGBTQ trend tables, so this record replaces a separate November 2024 AVA wave rather than duplicating it. No transgender-specific question unique to the post-election instrument was found - PRRI's post-election analysis covered vote choice, Christian nationalism, authoritarianism and election confidence.

Wording notes: bundles transgender people with gay, lesbian and bisexual people in one itemthree policy domains combined in one question (jobs, public accommodations, housing)
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Favor
  • Oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • Skipped/Refused
PRRIYouth medical careNov 8, 2024 – Dec 2, 2024
laws preventing parents from allowing a minor to receive gender-transition medical care

Q10. How much do you favor or oppose each of the following? [RANDOMIZE]:

Laws that prevent parents from allowing their child to receive medical care for a gender transition.

Favor 26%26% Oppose
Favor 21%
Sample
5,772 adults · +/- 1.72 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Ipsos KnowledgePanel; 4,757 of the 5,772 respondents were 2024 voters (MOE +/- 1.9 points for the voter subsample). This is AVA Wave 4 for 2024, labeled 'Nov. 2024' in the AVA LGBTQ trend tables, so this record replaces a separate November 2024 AVA wave rather than duplicating it. No transgender-specific question unique to the post-election instrument was found - PRRI's post-election analysis covered vote choice, Christian nationalism, authoritarianism and election confidence.

Wording notes: frames the ban as constraining parents rather than minors or providersdoes not name specific interventions (puberty blockers, hormones, surgery)'medical care for a gender transition' rather than 'gender-affirming care'
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Favor
  • Oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • Skipped/Refused
PRRILegal documents & IDsNov 8, 2024 – Dec 2, 2024
driver's licenses and government IDs required to display sex at birth rather than gender identity

Q10. How much do you favor or oppose each of the following? [RANDOMIZE]:

Laws that require driver's licenses or government ID to display the person's sex at birth rather than their gender identity.

Favor 30%21% Oppose
Favor 30%
Sample
5,772 adults · +/- 1.72 percentage points
Method
probability panel
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Ipsos KnowledgePanel; 4,757 of the 5,772 respondents were 2024 voters (MOE +/- 1.9 points for the voter subsample). This is AVA Wave 4 for 2024, labeled 'Nov. 2024' in the AVA LGBTQ trend tables, so this record replaces a separate November 2024 AVA wave rather than duplicating it. No transgender-specific question unique to the post-election instrument was found - PRRI's post-election analysis covered vote choice, Christian nationalism, authoritarianism and election confidence.

Wording notes: uses 'sex at birth' against 'gender identity'
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Strongly favor
  • Favor
  • Oppose
  • Strongly oppose
  • Skipped/Refused
ANESMilitary serviceNov 7, 2024 – Feb 17, 2025
ANES variable V242362 (TRANSMIL_ALLOWMIL) - allowing transgender people to serve in the armed forces

Do you favor, oppose, or neither favor nor oppose allowing transgender people to serve in the United States Armed Forces?

Favor 35%25% Oppose
Sample
4,964 adult citizens
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Post-election re-interviews; overall re-interview rate 89.9% of the 5,521 pre-election respondents (n derived from that rate, not printed as a count in the user guide). Item bases in the frequency tables run about 4,700.

Wording notes: explicit 'neither favor nor oppose' middle category absorbs about 40% of responses
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Favor
  • Oppose
  • Neither favor nor oppose
ANESMilitary serviceNov 7, 2024 – Feb 17, 2025
ANES summary variable V242364x - military item folded with strength (7-point)

IF R FAVORS ALLOWING TRANSGENDER PPL IN MILITARY / IF R OPPOSES ALLOWING TRANSGENDER PPL IN MILITARY:

Do you favor that [a great deal, a moderate amount, or a little / a little, a moderate amount, or a great deal]? / Do you oppose that [a great deal, a moderate amount, or a little / a little, a moderate amount, or a great deal]?

Favor 35%25% Oppose
Sample
4,964 adult citizens
Method
mixed-mode probability
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Post-election re-interviews; overall re-interview rate 89.9% of the 5,521 pre-election respondents (n derived from that rate, not printed as a count in the user guide). Item bases in the frequency tables run about 4,700.

Wording notes: 7-point folded scale with a true midpoint
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • A great deal
  • A moderate amount
  • A little
Blueprintfor BlueprintPolitical saliencedata flagNov 6–7, 2024
trans issues as a reason not to vote for Harris - paired-choice testing of 25 criticisms

Respondents were shown pairs drawn from 25 distinct criticisms of Kamala Harris and asked which reason seemed more compelling; exact instruction text not published.

Kamala Harris is focused more on cultural issues like transgender issues rather than helping the middle class

Net score, comparison item: 'Inflation was too high under the Biden-Harris Administration' (ranked 1st)
24%
Net score, comparison item: 'Too many immigrants illegally crossed the border under the Biden-Harris Administration' (ranked 2nd)
23%
Net paired-choice score, 'Kamala Harris is focused more on cultural issues like transgender issues rather than helping the middle class' (ranked 3rd of 25)
17%
Net score, comparison item: 'The debt rose too much under the Biden-Harris Administration'
13%
Net score, comparison item: 'Kamala Harris would be too similar to Joe Biden'
12%
Net score, comparison item: 'Kamala Harris is too pro-Israel'
-22%
Net score, comparison item: 'Kamala Harris isn't similar enough to Joe Biden'
-24%
Net score, comparison item: 'Kamala Harris is too conservative'
-27%
Sample
3,262 2024 voters · +/- 2.1 percentage points
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national plus swing-state oversample
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures

Base: 3,262 national and swing-state voters including a 1,883 swing-state oversample; 757 'swing voters' analyzed separately

Wording notes: explicitly pits 'transgender issues' against 'helping the middle class' - a zero-sum constructionattributes a focus to the candidate rather than asking respondents to evaluate a policyscores are net paired-choice values, not percentages agreeing
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Selected as the more compelling reason
  • Not selected
Blueprintfor BlueprintPolitical salienceparaphraseddata flagNov 6–7, 2024
swing-voter belief that Harris supported taxpayer-funded transition surgery for undocumented immigrants

Battery asking swing voters whether Harris held various positions during the 2024 campaign, used by Blueprint to measure misperception of her platform.

Kamala Harris supports taxpayer funding for transgender surgeries for undocumented immigrants

Sample
asked of a subset: Decisive swing voters who chose Trumpfull poll: 3,262 2024 voters · +/- 2.1 percentage points
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national plus swing-state oversample
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: 3,262 national and swing-state voters including a 1,883 swing-state oversample; 757 'swing voters' analyzed separately

Wording notes: measures belief about a candidate's position, not the respondent's own policy viewthe position described tracks the central claim of the Trump campaign's 'Kamala is for they/them' advertising
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Believed Harris held this position
  • Did not believe Harris held this position
BlueprintPolitical saliencedata flagNov 6–7, 2024
accuracy of the critique that Democrats want to promote transgender ideology

Below are some critiques of the Democratic Party, for each say how accurate you think the critique is:

Below are some critiques of the Democratic Party, for each say how accurate you think the critique is: - Democrats want to promote transgender ideology

Extremely accurate
39%
Not at all accurate
28%
Somewhat accurate
18%
Very accurate
15%
Total accurate 72%Total not accurate 28%
Sample
3,262 2024 voters (registered national and swing-state voters who reported voting) · ±2.1 percentage points per Blueprint's web write-ups; the published topline PDF states ±3.7 on every page - the two figures conflict and Blueprint does not reconcile them
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national plus swing-state oversample
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures

Base: Includes a swing-state oversample of 1,883 voters; a later Blueprint release describes 3,623 total voters in targeted swing states and 757 swing voters. Key results are reported for 'swing voters who chose Trump'.

Wording notes: 'transgender ideology' is a term of art from the political right, presented here without quotation marks or attributionthe battery contains only critiques of Democrats - no counterbalancing critiques of Republicans
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Very accurate
  • Somewhat accurate
  • Not very accurate
  • Not at all accurate
BlueprintPolitical saliencedata flagNov 6–7, 2024
accuracy of the critique that Democrats have extreme ideas about race and gender

Below are some critiques of the Democratic Party, for each say how accurate you think the critique is:

Below are some critiques of the Democratic Party, for each say how accurate you think the critique is: - Democrats have extreme ideas about race and gender

Net accurate
24%
Sample
3,262 2024 voters (registered national and swing-state voters who reported voting) · ±2.1 percentage points per Blueprint's web write-ups; the published topline PDF states ±3.7 on every page - the two figures conflict and Blueprint does not reconcile them
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national plus swing-state oversample
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures

Base: Includes a swing-state oversample of 1,883 voters; a later Blueprint release describes 3,623 total voters in targeted swing states and 757 swing voters. Key results are reported for 'swing voters who chose Trump'.

Wording notes: 'extreme' supplied by the pollsterbundles race and gender into one item
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Very accurate
  • Somewhat accurate
  • Not very accurate
  • Not at all accurate
BlueprintPolitical saliencedata flagNov 6–7, 2024
belief that Harris supported taxpayer-funded transition surgery for undocumented immigrants in prison

Below are some positions that Kamala Harris could hold. For each, say whether you believe Harris holds that position:

Below are some positions that Kamala Harris could hold. For each, say whether you believe Harris holds that position: - Using taxpayer dollars to pay for transgender surgeries for undocumented immigrants in prison

Kamala Harris supports this policy
60%
Kamala Harris does not support this policy
40%
Sample
3,262 2024 voters (registered national and swing-state voters who reported voting) · ±2.1 percentage points per Blueprint's web write-ups; the published topline PDF states ±3.7 on every page - the two figures conflict and Blueprint does not reconcile them
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national plus swing-state oversample
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 2 subgroup figures

Base: Includes a swing-state oversample of 1,883 voters; a later Blueprint release describes 3,623 total voters in targeted swing states and 757 swing voters. Key results are reported for 'swing voters who chose Trump'.

Wording notes: this is the policy named in the Trump campaign's "Kamala is for they/them" advertisingthe item restates the ad's claim in the ad's own termsno don't-know option is offered, forcing a guess
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Kamala Harris supports this policy
  • Kamala Harris does not support this policy
BlueprintParental rightsdata flagNov 6–7, 2024
belief that Harris supported letting minors transition without informing parents

Below are some positions that Kamala Harris could hold. For each, say whether you believe Harris holds that position:

Below are some positions that Kamala Harris could hold. For each, say whether you believe Harris holds that position: - Allowing children under 18 to transition genders without informing their parents

Kamala Harris supports this policy
60%
Kamala Harris does not support this policy
40%
Sample
3,262 2024 voters (registered national and swing-state voters who reported voting) · ±2.1 percentage points per Blueprint's web write-ups; the published topline PDF states ±3.7 on every page - the two figures conflict and Blueprint does not reconcile them
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national plus swing-state oversample
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: Includes a swing-state oversample of 1,883 voters; a later Blueprint release describes 3,623 total voters in targeted swing states and 757 swing voters. Key results are reported for 'swing voters who chose Trump'.

Wording notes: 'transition genders' without specifying social or medical transitionno don't-know option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Kamala Harris supports this policy
  • Kamala Harris does not support this policy
BlueprintPolitical saliencedata flagNov 6–7, 2024
relative importance of 'focused on cultural issues like transgender issues' as a reason not to vote for Harris

Respondents were presented with random pairs of potential reasons to vote against Harris and asked to select which reason they found more compelling.

Kamala Harris is focused more on cultural issues like transgender issues rather than helping the middle class

"Inflation was too high under the Biden-Harris Administration" - selected 74% of the time, relative importance
24%
"Too many immigrants illegally crossed the border under the Biden-Harris Administration" - relative importance
23%
Relative importance score (points above the average criticism)
17%
Sample
3,262 2024 voters (registered national and swing-state voters who reported voting) · ±2.1 percentage points per Blueprint's web write-ups; the published topline PDF states ±3.7 on every page - the two figures conflict and Blueprint does not reconcile them
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national plus swing-state oversample
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: Includes a swing-state oversample of 1,883 voters; a later Blueprint release describes 3,623 total voters in targeted swing states and 757 swing voters. Key results are reported for 'swing voters who chose Trump'.

Wording notes: MaxDiff-style pairwise design - the reported number is a relative importance score, not a percentage of respondentsall 25 items are criticisms of Harris; there is no positive or pro-Harris item in the pool
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Selected as the more compelling reason
  • Not selected
YouGovfor The EconomistPolitical salienceparaphraseddata flagNov 6–7, 2024
importance of transgender issues to 2024 vote

Issue Importance -- Transgender issues

When thinking about this year's election, how important are the following issues to you?

Unimportant
32%
Very Important
23%
Somewhat Important
22%
Not very Important
22%
Not Important (net) 54%Important (net) 46%
Sample
1,590 registered voters · ±2.8% (adjusted for weighting)
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record · 18 subgroup figures
Wording notes: battery item among many election issuesnet Important and Not Important rows are printed by the pollster
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Very Important
  • Somewhat Important
  • Important (net)
  • Not very Important
  • Unimportant
  • Not Important (net)
Greenberg Quinlan Rosnerfor Human Rights CampaignPolitical salienceparaphrasedOct 31, 2024 – Nov 5, 2024
recall of anti-trans attack advertising, and whether trans issues drove the vote

ads criticizing Kamala Harris for supporting taxpayer funded gender transition surgeries for prisoners and migrants and for allowing boys to play sports with girls

Recall seeing the anti-trans attack ads against Kamala Harris
64%
Name opposing transgender surgeries and transgender kids in sports as a most-important issue driving their vote (last on the list)
4%
Sample
800 2024 voters · not disclosed
Method
text-to-web
Where
US national, with oversamples in AZ, MI, PA and WI
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Base national sample of 800 voters, plus oversamples in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, among AANHPI voters, and among LGBTQ+ voters. Oversample sizes were not published.

Wording notes: the ad description repeats the advertisers' framing ('allowing boys to play sports with girls')
Greenberg Quinlan Rosnerfor Human Rights CampaignParty & candidate handlingOct 31, 2024 – Nov 5, 2024
which candidate better represents the voter's views on transgender people

which candidate they prefer on...

representing your views on transgender people

Kamala Harris
52%
Donald Trump
40%
Sample
800 2024 voters · not disclosed
Method
text-to-web
Where
US national, with oversamples in AZ, MI, PA and WI
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Base national sample of 800 voters, plus oversamples in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, among AANHPI voters, and among LGBTQ+ voters. Oversample sizes were not published.

Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Kamala Harris
  • Donald Trump
Greenberg Quinlan Rosnerfor Human Rights CampaignAdult medical careparaphrasedOct 31, 2024 – Nov 5, 2024
whether government should interfere with the health care transgender people receive

the government should not interfere with the health care transgender people receive

Government should not interfere with the health care transgender people receive
73%
Sample
800 2024 voters · not disclosed
Method
text-to-web
Where
US national, with oversamples in AZ, MI, PA and WI
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: Base national sample of 800 voters, plus oversamples in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, among AANHPI voters, and among LGBTQ+ voters. Oversample sizes were not published.

Wording notes: uses the anti-regulation frame ('government should not interfere') rather than naming specific treatments or ages
Greenberg Quinlan Rosnerfor Human Rights CampaignNondiscriminationparaphrasedOct 31, 2024 – Nov 5, 2024
support for a federal LGBTQ+ nondiscrimination law

a federal law that would make it illegal to deny services to LGBTQ+ people and would ban discrimination in employment and housing

Support
60%
Sample
800 2024 voters · not disclosed
Method
text-to-web
Where
US national, with oversamples in AZ, MI, PA and WI
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 1 subgroup figure

Base: Base national sample of 800 voters, plus oversamples in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, among AANHPI voters, and among LGBTQ+ voters. Oversample sizes were not published.

Wording notes: item names LGBTQ+ collectively and does not separate gender identity from sexual orientation
Napolitan News Service (RMG Research)for Napolitan News Service Gold Circle MembersSportsOct 28–29, 2024
whether trans women should be allowed to compete in women's sports

Should biological males who identify as women be allowed to compete in women's sports events?

No
71%
Yes
16%
Sample
registered voters
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)PDF, external
Full record
Wording notes: 'biological males who identify as women' is the restrictive-side term of art and the only descriptor offeredno counter-framing or competing consideration offeredyes/no rather than a scaled item, which suppresses intensity
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Not sure

Figures transcribed from public sources; each links to the original release. How to read this data →