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21 questions from 10 polls

Cooperative Election Study (CES)Youth medical careNov 5, 2025 – Dec 12, 2025
CES variable CC25_343a - criminalising gender-transition care for minors (repeat of the 2023 item, format changed to support/oppose)

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Do you support or oppose the following proposals?

Make it illegal for health care professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care for a gender transition

Support 63%37% Oppose
Sample
17,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: 'make it illegal' criminalisation frameno middle or don't-know optionFORMAT CHANGE from the 2023 agree/disagree version of the identical row text
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)School policyNov 5, 2025 – Dec 12, 2025
CES variable CC25_343b - prohibiting classroom instruction on sexual orientation and identity

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Do you support or oppose the following proposals?

Prohibit classroom discussion or instruction on sexual orientation and identity in kindergarten to third grade or in older grades in "a manner that is not age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate"

Support 67%33% Oppose
Sample
17,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: quotes the Florida statute's 'age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate' languagedouble-barreledno middle option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Adult medical careNov 5, 2025 – Dec 12, 2025
CES variable CC25_343c - prohibiting public bodies from interfering with access to gender transition surgery

Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Do you support or oppose the following proposals?

Prohibit local municipalities and other public bodies from interfering with a person's ability to obtain a gender transition operation

Support 55%45% Oppose
Sample
17,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: double negative - supporting means protecting accessno middle option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationNov 5, 2025 – Dec 12, 2025
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Do you identify as transgender?

No
97.7%
Yes
1.2%
Prefer not to say
1.1%
Sample
17,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: direct self-identification wording
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Youth medical careOct 2024 – Dec 10, 2024
CES variable CC24_444a - state ban on gender transition surgery for minors with gender dysphoria

Some states are considering the following policies. If this came up in your state, would you support or oppose the proposal?

Preventing gender transition surgery for minors experiencing gender dysphoria.

Support 61%39% Oppose
Sample
60,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Pre-election wave 1 Oct - 4 Nov 2024; post-election wave 6 Nov - 10 Dec 2024. CC24_444 was on the pre-election wave.

Wording notes: restricted to SURGERY, not puberty blockers or hormones, which is a narrower policy than the 2023/2025 'medical care for a gender transition' itemqualifies the population as minors 'experiencing gender dysphoria', a clinical framingno middle or don't-know option'If this came up in your state' hypothetical framing
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)School policyOct 2024 – Dec 10, 2024
CES variable CC24_444b - parental consent before school staff use a student's chosen name or pronoun

Some states are considering the following policies. If this came up in your state, would you support or oppose the proposal?

Requiring parental consent before teachers could address their child using a name or pronoun other than the name or gender under which they are enrolled in school.

Support 64%36% Oppose
Sample
60,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Pre-election wave 1 Oct - 4 Nov 2024; post-election wave 6 Nov - 10 Dec 2024. CC24_444 was on the pre-election wave.

Wording notes: 'parental consent' is a high-valence positive frame that tends to lift support regardless of the underlying policydoes not mention transgender students explicitlyno middle or don't-know option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationOct 2024 – Dec 10, 2024
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Do you identify as transgender?

No
98.3%
Yes
1%
Prefer not to say
0.7%
Sample
60,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Pre-election wave 1 Oct - 4 Nov 2024; post-election wave 6 Nov - 10 Dec 2024. CC24_444 was on the pre-election wave.

Wording notes: direct self-identification wording
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Youth medical careNov 8, 2023 – Dec 11, 2023
CES variable CC23_343a - criminalising gender-transition care for minors

Make it illegal for health care professionals to provide someone younger than 18 with medical care for a gender transition.

Agree 66%34% Disagree
Sample
24,500 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: 'make it illegal' is a criminalisation frame rather than a restriction frameno middle or don't-know option, which forces leaners onto one sideagree/disagree format is acquiescence-prone
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Agree
  • Disagree
Cooperative Election Study (CES)School policyNov 8, 2023 – Dec 11, 2023
CES variable CC23_343b - prohibiting classroom instruction on sexual orientation and identity

Prohibit classroom discussion or instruction on sexual orientation and identity in kindergarten to third grade or in older grades in "a manner that is not age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate".

Agree 71%29% Disagree
Sample
24,500 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: quotes the Florida statute's own 'age-appropriate or developmentally appropriate' language, which is a strong legitimating cuedouble-barreled: bundles a K-3 ban with a vaguer older-grades standardno middle option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Agree
  • Disagree
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Adult medical careNov 8, 2023 – Dec 11, 2023
CES variable CC23_343c - prohibiting public bodies from interfering with access to gender transition surgery

Prohibit local municipalities and other public bodies from interfering with a person's ability to obtain a gender transition operation.

Agree 58%42% Disagree
Sample
24,500 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: double negative - agreeing means prohibiting interference, i.e. protecting accessno middle option
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Agree
  • Disagree
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationSep 29, 2022 – Dec 15, 2022
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Do you identify as transgender?

No
97.7%
Yes
1.4%
Prefer not to say
0.9%
Sample
60,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Pre-election wave 29 Sep - 8 Nov 2022; post-election wave 10 Nov - 15 Dec 2022

Wording notes: direct self-identification wording
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Military serviceNov 3, 2021 – Dec 7, 2021
CES variable CC21_355d - allow transgender people in the military (Biden-era reversal of the item's direction)

For each of the following tell us whether you support or oppose these decisions.

Allow Transgender People in the Military

Support 61%39% Oppose
Sample
25,700 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: DIRECTION REVERSED from the 2017-2020 'Ban Transgender People in the Military' wording - do not chart these together without flipping one sidebare policy labelno middle or don't-know optionbattery now consists of Biden executive orders
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationNov 3, 2021 – Dec 7, 2021
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Do you identify as transgender?

No
97.5%
Yes
1.4%
Prefer not to say
1.1%
Sample
25,700 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: new direct self-identification wording, replacing the broad 'ever undergone any part of a process' item used 2016-2020
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Military serviceSep 29, 2020 – Dec 14, 2020
CES variable CC20_355d - ban transgender people in the military (pre-election wave)

For each of the following tell us whether you support or oppose these decisions.

Ban Transgender People in the Military

Support 35%65% Oppose
Sample
61,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Pre-election wave 29 Sep - 2 Nov 2020; post-election wave 8 Nov - 14 Dec 2020. CC20_355d was on the pre-election wave.

Wording notes: bare policy labelno middle or don't-know optionembedded in an executive-orders battery
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationSep 29, 2020 – Dec 14, 2020
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Have you ever undergone any part of a process (including any thought or action) to change your gender / perceived gender from the one you were assigned at birth? This may include steps such as changing the type of clothes you wear, name you are known by or undergoing surgery.

No
94.8%
Prefer not to say
2.8%
Yes
2.4%
Sample
61,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Pre-election wave 29 Sep - 2 Nov 2020; post-election wave 8 Nov - 14 Dec 2020. CC20_355d was on the pre-election wave.

Wording notes: extremely broad wording ('any thought or action')
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Military serviceNov 6, 2019 – Dec 8, 2019
CCES variable CC19_332e - ban transgender people in the military

For each of the following tell us whether you support or oppose these decisions.

Ban Transgender People in the Military

Support 38%62% Oppose
Sample
18,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: bare policy labelno middle or don't-know optionembedded in an executive-orders battery
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationNov 6, 2019 – Dec 8, 2019
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Have you ever undergone any part of a process (including any thought or action) to change your gender / perceived gender from the one you were assigned at birth? This may include steps such as changing the type of clothes you wear, name you are known by or undergoing surgery.

No
93.5%
Yes
3.9%
Prefer not to say
2.6%
Sample
18,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: extremely broad wording ('any thought or action')
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Military serviceSep 27, 2018 – Dec 3, 2018
CCES variable CC18_417_d - Trump executive order banning transgender people from the military (post-election wave)

President Trump has issued many orders over the first two years of his presidency. For each of the following tell us whether you support or oppose the order in principle.

Ban Transgender People in the Military

Support 33%67% Oppose
Sample
60,000 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Pre-election wave 27 Sep - 5 Nov 2018; post-election wave 7 Nov - 3 Dec 2018. CC18_417_d was on the post-election wave.

Wording notes: bare policy label with no explanatory sentenceno middle or don't-know optionembedded in a Trump executive-order battery
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Military serviceNov 8, 2017 – Dec 13, 2017
CCES variable CC17_341F - Trump executive order banning transgender people from military service

Presidents Trump has issued many orders over the first year of his presidency. For each of the following tell us whether you support or oppose the order in principle.

Ban Transgender People Serving in Military

Support 37%63% Oppose
Sample
18,200 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record · 6 subgroup figures

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: item text is a bare policy label with no explanatory sentence, unlike the other rows in the grid which carry two- or three-sentence descriptionsno middle or don't-know optionasked as one row in a battery of Trump executive orders, so responses are partly a referendum on Trump
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Support
  • Oppose
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationNov 8, 2017 – Dec 13, 2017
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Have you ever undergone any part of a process (including any thought or action) to change your gender / perceived gender from the one you were assigned at birth? This may include steps such as changing the type of clothes you wear, name you are known by or undergoing surgery.

No
95.7%
Yes
2.6%
Prefer not to say
1.7%
Sample
18,200 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Off-year CES: a single post-election common-content wave

Wording notes: extremely broad wording ('any thought or action')
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say
Cooperative Election Study (CES)Contact & populationSep 28, 2016 – Dec 14, 2016
CES demographic variable measuring transgender status of the respondent

Have you ever undergone any part of a process (including any thought or action) to change your gender / perceived gender from the one you were assigned at birth? This may include steps such as changing the type of clothes you wear, name you are known by or undergoing surgery.

No
97.3%
Yes
1.5%
Prefer not to say
1.3%
Sample
64,600 adults
Method
online opt-in
Where
US national (large enough for state-level estimates)
Source
Pollster release(opens another site)
Full record

Base: Pre-election wave 28 Sep - 7 Nov 2016; post-election wave 9 Nov - 14 Dec 2016

Wording notes: extremely broad wording ('any thought or action')asked of roughly half the sample
Response options as the pollster wrote them
  • Yes
  • No
  • Prefer not to say

Figures transcribed from public sources; each links to the original release. How to read this data →